Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36839600›Full record

ArticlePathogens (Basel, Switzerland)2023

Value of Verbal Autopsy in a Fragile Setting: Reported versus Estimated Community Deaths Associated with COVID-19, Banadir, Somalia.

Tahlil Abdi Afrah, Lilly M Nyagah, Asma Swaleh Ali, Mary Karanja, Hassan W Nor, Solomon Abera, Ali Sh Mohamed, Mohamed Ahmed Yusuf Guled, Mohamed Mohamud Hassan Biday, Majdouline Obtel and 1 more

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Article in Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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3 · Its place in the literature

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2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Tahlil Abdi AfrahCollege of Health Sciences, Benadir University, Mogadishu, Somalia.
Lilly M NyagahSomalia Country Office, World Health Organization (WHO), Mogadishu, Somalia.ORCID 0000-0002-3852-6695
Asma Swaleh AliSomalia Country Office, World Health Organization (WHO), Mogadishu, Somalia.
Mary KaranjaSomalia Country Office, World Health Organization (WHO), Mogadishu, Somalia.ORCID 0000-0001-9521-5773
Hassan W NorCollege of Health Sciences, Benadir University, Mogadishu, Somalia.
Solomon AberaSomalia Country Office, World Health Organization (WHO), Mogadishu, Somalia.
Ali Sh MohamedCollege of Health Sciences, Benadir University, Mogadishu, Somalia.
Mohamed Ahmed Yusuf GuledCollege of Health Sciences, Benadir University, Mogadishu, Somalia.
Mohamed Mohamud Hassan BidayCollege of Health Sciences, Benadir University, Mogadishu, Somalia.
Majdouline ObtelDepartment of Public Health, University Mohammed V of Rabat, Rabat, Morocco.
Sk Md Mamunur Rahman MalikSomalia Country Office, World Health Organization (WHO), Mogadishu, Somalia.ORCID 0000-0002-4691-492X

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate mortality data associated with infectious diseases such as coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are often unavailable in countries with fragile health systems such as Somalia. We compared officially reported COVID-19 deaths in Somalia with COVID-19 deaths estimated using verbal autopsy.

methodsWe interviewed relatives of deceased persons to collect information on symptoms, cause, and place of death. We compared these data with officially reported data and estimated the positive and negative predictive values of verbal autopsy.

resultsWe identified 530 deaths during March-October 2020. We classified 176 (33.2%) as probable COVID-19 deaths. Most deaths (78.5%; 416/530) occurred at home and 144 (34.6%) of these were attributed to COVID-19. The positive predictive value of verbal autopsy was lower for home deaths (22.3%; 95% CI: 15.7-30.1%) than for hospital deaths (32.3%; 95% CI: 16.7-51.4%). The negative predictive value was higher: 97.8% (95% CI: 95.0-99.3%) for home deaths and 98.4% (95% CI: 91.5-100%) for hospital deaths. Conclusions Verbal autopsy has acceptable predictive value to estimate COVID-19 deaths where disease prevalence is high and can provide data on the COVID-19 burden in countries with low testing and weak mortality surveillance where home deaths may be missed.

Indexed as

cause of deathCOVID-19mortalitySomaliaverbal autopsy

Identifiers

PMID36839600
PMCPMC9961735

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