Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36833622›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2023

Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Burden and Its Attributable Risk Factors in China: Estimates and Forecasts from 1990 to 2050.

Ruhao Zhang, Yifei He, Bincai Wei, Yongbo Lu, Jingya Zhang, Ning Zhang, Rongxin He, Hao Xue, Bin Zhu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
20.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. [Progress of scRNA-seq technology in nasopharyngeal carcinoma research].Lin chuang er bi yan hou tou jing wai ke za zhi = Journal of clinical otorhinolaryngology head and neck surgery · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Ruhao ZhangSchool of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.
Yifei HeSchool of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9046-6861
Bincai WeiSchool of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.
Yongbo LuSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.
Jingya ZhangSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2657-9802
Ning ZhangSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5841-4933
Rongxin HeVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing 100084, China.
Hao XueFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9683-5541
Bin ZhuSchool of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0091-6356
Southern University of Science and Technology · CNXi'an Jiaotong University · CNStanford University · USVanke (China) · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is an uncommon and aggressive malignant head and neck cancer, which is highly prevalent in southern and southwestern provinces in China. The aim of this study was to examine the disease burden and risk factors of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China from 1990 to 2019 and to predict the incidence trends from 2020 to 2049. All data were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort (APC) models were chosen to analyze prevalence trends. The temporal trends and age distribution of risk factors were also analyzed descriptively. Bayesian APC models were used to predict the prevalence from 2020 to 2049. The results indicate a higher disease burden in men and older adults. Their attributable risk factors are smoking, occupational exposure to formaldehyde, and alcohol use. We predict that the incidence will be on the rise in all age groups between 2020 and 2049, with the highest incidence in people aged 70 to 89 years. In 2049, the incidence rate is expected to reach 13.39 per 100,000 (50-54 years), 16.43 (55-59 years), 17.26 (60-64 years), 18.02 (65-69 years), 18.55 (70-74 years), 18.39 (75-79 years), 19.95 (80-84 years), 23.07 (85-89 years), 13.70 (90-94 years), and 6.68 (95+ years). The findings of this study might deserve consideration in China's NPC prevention and control policy design.

Indexed as

Nasopharyngeal NeoplasmsAgedBayes TheoremChinaHumansIncidenceMaleNasopharyngeal CarcinomaRisk Factorsage-period-cohort modelburden of diseasesGBD studyjoinpoint regressionnasopharyngeal carcinomapredictionrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID36833622
PMCPMC9961544
OpenAlexW4319600545

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.