ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2023
How Much Is Winning a Matter of Luck? A Comparison of 3 × 3 and 5v5 Basketball.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Pushing your luck: on chance, serendipity, and athlete development.Sports medicine - open · 2025Article
- Comparison of vertical jump and sprint performances between 3 × 3 and 5 × 5 elite professional male basketball players.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2024Article
- The impact of simulated 3x3 tournament on vertical jump force-time metrics in national team male basketball players.Frontiers in physiology · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundThe comparison of team sports based on luck has a long tradition and remains unsolved. A contrast between the new Olympic format three-on-three (3 × 3) and five-on-five (5v5) forms of basketball has never been analyzed and provides a comparison within the same form of sports.
methodsWe developed a new method to calculate performance indicators for each team and invented the Relative Score Difference Index, a new competitive balance indicator that allows the comparison of luck in the two basketball forms for both men and women. We collected game-level data about 3 × 3 and 5v5 from the World Cups held between 2010 and 2019 (
resultsAs we predicted, there are differential effects of luck between game formats and sex, such that the 3 × 3 form depends more on luck and women's games are less influenced by luck when compared to men's games.
conclusionCoaches may better understand the differences between the two forms and sexes regarding luck if they are aware that the 3 × 3 and men's competitions are usually more influenced by luck. The findings provide a leverage point for testing new performances and competition balance indicators and will acknowledge the number of games we enjoy watching.
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