Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36832745›Full record

ArticleEntropy (Basel, Switzerland)2023

Earthquake Nowcasting: Retrospective Testing in Greece.

Gerasimos Chouliaras, Efthimios S Skordas, Nicholas V Sarlis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Entropy (Basel, Switzerland), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Gerasimos ChouliarasInstitute of Geodynamics, National Observatory of Athens, 118 10 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-1047-7836
Efthimios S SkordasSection of Condensed Matter Physics and Solid Earth Physics Institute, Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0003-1269-4903
Nicholas V SarlisSection of Condensed Matter Physics and Solid Earth Physics Institute, Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-8483-519X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Earthquake nowcasting (EN) is a modern method of estimating seismic risk by evaluating the progress of the earthquake (EQ) cycle in fault systems. EN evaluation is based on a new concept of time, termed 'natural time'. EN employs natural time, and uniquely estimates seismic risk by means of the earthquake potential score (EPS), which has been found to have useful applications both regionally and globally. Amongst these applications, here we focused on Greece since 2019, for the estimation of the EPS for the largest-magnitude events, MW(USGS) ≥ 6, that occurred during our study period: for example, the MW= 6.0 WNW-of-Kissamos EQ on 27 November 2019, the MW= 6.5 off-shore Southern Crete EQ on 2 May 2020, the MW= 7.0 Samos EQ on 30 October 2020, the MW= 6.3 Tyrnavos EQ on 3 March 2021, the MW= 6.0 Arkalohorion Crete EQ on 27 September 2021, and the MW= 6.4 Sitia Crete EQ on 12 October 2021. The results are promising, and reveal that the EPS provides useful information on impending seismicity.

Indexed as

earthquake nowcastingearthquake potential scorenatural timeseismic riskstatistical methods

Identifiers

PMID36832745
PMCPMC9955490

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.