Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36830359›Full record

ArticleAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI2023

Estimation of a Within-Herd Transmission Rate for African Swine Fever in Vietnam.

Van Phan Le, Nguyen Thi Lan, Jose Tobias Canevari, Juan Pablo Villanueva-Cabezas, Pawin Padungtod, Thi Bich Ngoc Trinh, Van Tam Nguyen, Caitlin N Pfeiffer, Madalene V Oberin, Simon M Firestone and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Van Phan LeFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Vietnam National University of Agriculture, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam.
Nguyen Thi LanFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Vietnam National University of Agriculture, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam.
Jose Tobias CanevariFaculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3010, Australia.
Juan Pablo Villanueva-CabezasDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Parkville 3000, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8575-9141
Pawin PadungtodFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam.ORCID 0000-0001-8861-0919
Thi Bich Ngoc TrinhInstitute of Veterinary Science and Technology, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam.
Van Tam NguyenInstitute of Veterinary Science and Technology, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam.
Caitlin N PfeifferFaculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3010, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3228-8403
Madalene V OberinFaculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3010, Australia.
Simon M FirestoneFaculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3010, Australia.
Mark A StevensonFaculty of Veterinary and Agricultural Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville 3010, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We describe results from a panel study in which pigs from a 17-sow African swine fever (ASF) positive herd in Thái Bình province, Vietnam, were followed over time to record the date of onset of ASF signs and the date of death from ASF. Our objectives were to (1) fit a susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed disease model to the data with transmission coefficients estimated using approximate Bayesian computation; (2) provide commentary on how a model of this type might be used to provide decision support for disease control authorities. For the outbreak in this herd, the median of the average latent period was 10 days (95% HPD (highest posterior density interval): 2 to 19 days), and the median of the average duration of infectiousness was 3 days (95% HPD: 2 to 4 days). The estimated median for the transmission coefficient was 3.3 (95% HPD: 0.4 to 8.9) infectious contacts per ASF-infectious pig per day. The estimated median for the basic reproductive number, R

Indexed as

epidemicepidemiologyinfectious diseaseslivestockmathematical modelingoutbreakpanzooticsimulationtransboundaryvirus

Identifiers

PMID36830359
PMCPMC9951655

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.