Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36823521›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2023

Different responses of Japanese encephalitis to weather variables among eight climate subtypes in Gansu, China, 2005-2019.

Ruifen Li, Xiaohong Zhao, Yu Tian, Yanjun Shi, Xueyan Gu, Shuang Wang, Rui Zhang, Jing An, Li Su, Xuxia Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ruifen Li *Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Institute of Health Education, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Xiaohong Zhao *Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Institute of Health Education, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Yu Tian *Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Institute of Health Education, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Yanjun ShiSchool of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Xueyan GuSchool of Public Health, Institute of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Shuang WangSchool of Public Health, Institute of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Rui ZhangSchool of Public Health, Institute of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Jing AnGansu Provincial Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Institute of Immunization Program, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Li SuSchool of Public Health, Institute of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China. sul@lzu.edu.cn.
Xuxia WangGansu Provincial Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Institute of Health Education, Lanzhou, 730000, China. wxx_76@126.com.

Funding

national natural science foundation of China 82060614
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study evaluated epidemic temporal aspects of Japanese encephalitis (JE) and investigated the weather threshold of JE response across eight climate subtypes between 2005 and 2019 in Gansu Province, China. Epidemiological data were collected from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP). Three epidemic temporal indices [frequency index (α), duration index (β), and intensity index (γ)] were adopted for the comparison of epidemic features among different climate subtypes. In addition, the local indicators of spatial association (LISA) technique was used to detect the hot-spot areas. The category and regression tree (CART) model was used to detect the response threshold of weather variables in hot-spot areas across climate subtypes. Among eight climate subtypes in Gansu, in most hot-spot areas (i.e., high-high clusters), α, β, and γ were detected in the climate subtypes of subtropical winter dry (Cwa), temperate oceanic continental (Cwb), and continental winter dry (Dwa and Dwb). According to the CART analysis, a minimum monthly temperature is required for Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) transmission, with different threshold values among the climatic subtypes. In temperate climate zones (Cwa and Cwb), this threshold is 19 °C at a 1-month lag. It is lower in continental winter dry climate zones: 18 °C in Dwa (snow climate, dry winter, and hot summer) and 16 °C in Dwb (snow climate, dry winter, and warm summer). Additionally, some areas of the areas with temperate arid (BWk and BSk) had the first JE cases. Further studies to detect whether the climate change influence the JEV's distribution in Gansu Province are needed.

Indexed as

DermatitisEncephalitis, JapaneseEncephalitis Virus, JapaneseChinaFeverHumansIncidenceSeasonsWeatherCARTClimate conditionsJapanese encephalitisKöppen–Geiger

Identifiers

PMID36823521
PMCPMC9951518

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.