ArticleFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2023
Value of baseline characteristics in the risk prediction of atrial fibrillation.
Article in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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1 citing paper in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.
- Precise risk-prediction model including arterial stiffness for new-onset atrial fibrillation using machine learning techniques.Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) · 2024Article
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4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prone to heart failure and stroke. Early management can effectively reduce the stroke rate and mortality. Current clinical guidelines screen high-risk individuals based solely on age, while this study aims to explore the possibility of other AF risk predictors. Methods: A total of 18,738 elderly people (aged over 60 years old) in Chinese communities were enrolled in this study. The baseline characteristics were mainly based on the diagnosis results of electrocardiogram (ECG) machine during follow up, accompanied by some auxiliary physical examination basic data. After the analysis of both independent and combined baseline characteristics, AF risk predictors were obtained and prioritized according to the results. Independent characteristics were studied from three aspects: Chi-square test, Mann-Whitney U test and Cox univariate regression analysis. Combined characteristics were studied from two aspects: machine learning models and Cox multivariate regression analysis, and the former was combined with recursive feature elimination method and voting decision. Results: The resulted optimal combination of risk predictors included age, atrial premature beats, atrial flutter, left ventricular hypertrophy, hypertension and heart disease. Conclusion: Patients diagnosed by short-time ECG machines with the occurrence of the above events had a higher probability of AF episodes, who are suggested to be included in the focus of long-term ECG monitoring or increased screening density. The incidence of risk predictors in different age ranges of AF patients suggests differences in age-specific patient management. This can help improve the detection rate of AF, standardize the management of patients, and slow down the progression of AF.
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