Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36817283›Full record

ArticlePopulation research and policy review2023

Can the Content of Social Networks Explain Epidemic Outbreaks?

Alexandre Gori Maia, Jose Daniel Morales Martinez, Leticia Junqueira Marteleto, Cristina Guimaraes Rodrigues, Luiz Gustavo Sereno

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Population research and policy review, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Alexandre Gori MaiaUniversity of Campinas, Campinas, SP Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-0075-5094
Jose Daniel Morales MartinezUniversity of Campinas, Campinas, SP Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-8117-830X
Leticia Junqueira MarteletoUniversity of Texas, Austin, TX USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4234-0129
Cristina Guimaraes RodriguesThe Institute of Economic Research Foundation, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP Brazil.
Luiz Gustavo SerenoUniversity of Campinas, Campinas, SP Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-9490-2379

Funding

Population Research CenterR24HD042849 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AUSTIN · PI HAYWARD, MARK D. · 2002 to 2016
$8.4M
Reproductive Responses to the Zika Virus Epidemic in BrazilR01HD091257 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI Leticia J Marteleto · 2018 to 2026
$5.8M
Sci-Tech Core-Population Dynamics Research CenterP2CHD044964 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI EMILIO ALBERTO PARRADO · 2018 to 2026
$5.3M
Scientific & Technical CoreP2CHD042849 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI MARK D. HAYWARD · 2017 to 2026
$5.2M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042849NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD044964NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD091257NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD042849
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

People share and seek information online that reflects a variety of social phenomena, including concerns about health conditions. We analyze how the contents of social networks provide real-time information to monitor and anticipate policies aimed at controlling or mitigating public health outbreaks. In November 2020, we collected tweets on the COVID-19 pandemic with content ranging from safety measures, vaccination, health, to politics. We then tested different specifications of spatial econometrics models to relate the frequency of selected keywords with administrative data on COVID-19 cases and deaths. Our results highlight how mentions of selected keywords can significantly explain future COVID-19 cases and deaths in one locality. We discuss two main mechanisms potentially explaining the links we find between Twitter contents and COVID-19 diffusion: risk perception and health behavior.

Indexed as

COVID-19Public healthSocial behaviorSpatial modelsSpatial panel modelTwitter

Identifiers

PMID36817283
PMCPMC9913001

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.