Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36815614›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2023

Trends in gastric cancer mortality 1990-2019 in 36 countries worldwide, with predictions to 2025, and incidence, overall and by subtype.

Giulia Collatuzzo, Claudia Santucci, Matteo Malvezzi, Carlo La Vecchia, Paolo Boffetta, Eva Negri

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
7.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Cancer mortality predictions for 2025 in Latin America with focus on prostate cancer.European journal of cancer prevention : the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP) · 2026
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  3. Review
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  9. Review
  10. The global gastric cancer consortium: an update from the Stomach cancer Pooling (StoP) project.European journal of cancer prevention : the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP) · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Giulia CollatuzzoDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-2309-7365
Claudia SantucciDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Matteo MalvezziDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Carlo La VecchiaDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Paolo BoffettaDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Eva NegriDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
University of Milan · ITUniversity of Bologna · ITStony Brook University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGastric cancer (GC) incidence is declining heterogeneously worldwide. We aimed to calculate updated mortality trends for GC.

methodsWe investigated time trends for selected countries using the World Health Organization database. We computed age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) per 100,000 persons over the 1990-2019 period. We reported rates for the 2010-2014 and 2015-19 calendar periods, and the corresponding percent changes. We used joinpoint regression analysis to identify changes in the slope of mortality trends, and predict the number of deaths and rates for 2025. We also reported 2008-2012 incidence rates of cardia and noncardia GC.

resultsMortality trends from GC have been favorable since 1990 for all countries analyzed and the European Union (EU 27), in both sexes and all ages. GC mortality is predicted to decline in all countries for both sexes, except for French and US women aged 35-64 years, and Canadian men aged 35-64. The highest proportions of cardia GC were observed in Northern and Central Europe while the lowest ones in Southern and Eastern Europe. Elsewhere, the highest proportions were registered in countries with low incidence and mortality rates, whereas high-mortality countries showed lower proportions of cardia GC.

conclusionObserved and predicted GC mortality trends declined in most countries in both sexes, with few exceptions, likely due to the control of GC risk factors, in particular Hp infection.

Indexed as

Stomach NeoplasmsCanadaEuropeFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMortalityWorld Health Organizationcardiagastric cancerincidencemortalitytrends

Identifiers

PMID36815614
PMCPMC10166912
OpenAlexW4321596112

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.