Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36814639›Full record

ArticleResearch in international business and finance2023

Forecasting for regulatory credit loss derived from the COVID-19 pandemic: A machine learning approach.

Marta Ramos González, Antonio Partal Ureña, Pilar Gómez Fernández-Aguado

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Research in international business and finance, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Marta Ramos GonzálezEuropean Investment Bank, Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Antonio Partal UreñaDepartment of Financial Economics and Accounting, Faculty of Legal and Social Sciences, University of Jaén, Jaén, Spain.
Pilar Gómez Fernández-AguadoDepartment of Financial Economics and Accounting, Faculty of Legal and Social Sciences, University of Jaén, Jaén, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The economic onslaught of the COVID-19 pandemic has compromised the risk management of financial institutions. The consequences related to such an unprecedented situation are difficult to foresee with certainty using traditional methods. The regulatory credit loss attached to defaulted mortgages, so-called expected loss best estimate (ELBE), is forecasted using a machine learning technique. The projection of two ELBEs for 2022 and their comparison are presented. One accounts for the outbreak's impact, and the other presumes the nonexistence of the pandemic. Then, it is concluded that the referred crisis surely adversely affects said high-risk portfolios. The proposed method has excellent performance and may serve to estimate future expected and unexpected losses amidst any event of extraordinary magnitude.

Indexed as

COVID-19Credit riskDefaulted exposuresInternal-rating-basedMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID36814639
PMCPMC9933877

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.