Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36814247›Full record

Observational studyBMC public health2023

Do precipitation anomalies influence short-term mobility in sub-saharan Africa? An observational study from 23 countries.

Adrienne Epstein, Orlando O Harris, Tarik Benmarhnia, Carol S Camlin, Sheri D Weiser

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Temperature anomalies undermine the health of reproductive-age women in low- and middle-income countries.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Adrienne EpsteinDepartment of Vector Biology, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Pembroke Place, L3 5QA, Liverpool, UK. adrienne.epstein@lstmed.ac.uk.
Orlando O HarrisDepartment of Medicine, Center for AIDS Prevention Studies, University of California, San Francisco, USA.
Tarik BenmarhniaHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science & Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, USA.
Carol S CamlinDepartment of Medicine, Center for AIDS Prevention Studies, University of California, San Francisco, USA.
Sheri D WeiserDivision of HIV, Infectious Diseases and Global Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, USA.
University of California, San Francisco · USScripps Institution of Oceanography · US

Funding

Ujima Mentoring ProgramP30MH062246 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI MALLORY O JOHNSON · 2001 to 2026
$57.4M
Mentoring in Patient Oriented Research on Food Insecurity, HIV and AgingK24AI134326 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI SHERI Dawn WEISER · 2017 to 2026
$1.4M
Jamaica CARES Project: Enhancing HIV Care Continuity Among Priority Populations in JamaicaK23MH130250 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Orlando Omar Harris · 2022 to 2026
$998k
Mapping malaria incidence using health facility surveillance data in UgandaF31AI150029 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI EPSTEIN, ADRIENNE · 2020 to 2021
$59k
NIAID NIH HHS F31 AI150029NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI134326NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH130250NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH062246
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrecipitation anomalies are associated with a number of poor health outcomes. One potential consequence of precipitation extremes is human geographic mobility. We evaluated the associations between precipitation anomalies (droughts and heavy rains) and short-term mobility in 23 sub-Saharan African countries by linking satellite data on precipitation to cross-sectional representative surveys.

methodsUsing data from 23 Demographic and Health Surveys from 2011 to 2017, we estimated the associations between deviations in long-term rainfall trends and short-term mobility among 294,539 women and 136,415 men over 15 years of age. We fit multivariable logistic regression models to assess potential non-linear relationships between rainfall deviations and short-term mobility, adjusting for survey month and socio-demographic covariates, and stratified by participant gender. Furthermore, we assessed whether these associations differed by marital status.

resultsRainfall deviations were associated with short-term mobility among women, but not men. The relationship between rainfall deviations and mobility among women was U-shaped, such that women had increased marginal probabilities of mobility in instances of both lower and heavier precipitation. Differences between married and unmarried women were also revealed: among married women, we found positive associations between both rainfall deviation extremes (drought and heavy rains) and mobility; however, among unmarried women, there was only a positive association for heavy rains.

conclusionPrecipitation anomalies were associated with short-term mobility among women, which may be in turn associated with poor health outcomes. More research with longitudinal data is needed to elaborate the associations between weather shocks, mobility, and downstream health impacts.

Indexed as

MarriageAfrica South of the SaharaCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMarital StatusSurveys and QuestionnairesAfrica South of the SaharaDemographyDroughtsMigrationRain

Identifiers

PMID36814247
PMCPMC9948323
OpenAlexW4321482940

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.