ReviewNature2023
Revisiting the Holocene global temperature conundrum.
Review in Nature, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed.
- Survival and divergence of Arctic endemic cod species during 50,000 years of climate change.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Population and landscape genomics provide insights into the adaptive genetic variation and future climate-induced vulnerability of the endangered tree speciesHorticulture research · 2026Article
- Unprecedented Burning in Tropical Peatlands During the 20th Century Compared to the Previous Two Millennia.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Population genomic landscapes and insights for conservation of the critically endangered island-endemic Chinese pangolin in Taiwan.Science China. Life sciences · 2025Article
- Green supply chain strategy considering participant fairness concern and uncertainty of research and development.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Article
- The seasonal temperature conundrum for the Holocene.Science advances · 2025Article
- Tree-ring stable isotopes from the European Alps reveal long-term summer drying over the Holocene.Science advances · 2025Article
- Article
- Biological Processes Underlying Genetic Adaptation of Larches to Cold and Dry Winter Conditions in Eastern Siberia.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- The effects of temperature variability on ischemic heart disease mortality in Hangzhou, China.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Unraveling the role of long non-coding RNAs in chronic heat stress-induced muscle injury in broilers.Journal of animal science and biotechnology · 2024Article
- Article
- Tropical Andean climate variations since the last deglaciation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Evolutionary characteristics and influencing factors of carbon emissions in China: An examination of a 43-year urban scale.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Carbon and oxygen isotopes in mummified wood reveal warmer and wetter winters in the Siberian Arctic 3000 years ago.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Sustained North Atlantic warming drove anomalously intense MIS 11c interglacial.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Population differentiation and dynamics of five pioneer species of Gaultheria from the secondary forests in subtropical China.BMC plant biology · 2024Article
- Manipulating the Rate and Overpotential for Electrochemical Water Oxidation: Mechanistic Insights for Cobalt Catalysts Bearing Noninnocent Bis(benzimidazole)pyrazolide Ligands.ACS organic & inorganic Au · 2024Article
- Robust land surface temperature record for north China over the past 21,000 years.Science advances · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Recent global temperature reconstructions for the current interglacial period (the Holocene, beginning 11,700 years ago) have generated contrasting trends. This Review examines evidence from indicators and drivers of global change, as inferred from proxy records and simulated by climate models, to evaluate whether anthropogenic global warming was preceded by a long-term warming trend or by global cooling. Multimillennial-scale cooling before industrialization requires extra climate forcing and major climate feedbacks that are not well represented in most climate models at present. Conversely, global warming before industrialization challenges proxy-based reconstructions of past climate. The resolution of this conundrum has implications for contextualizing post-industrial warming and for understanding climate sensitivity to several forcings and their attendant feedbacks, including greenhouse gases. From a large variety of available evidence, we find support for a relatively mild millennial-scale global thermal maximum during the mid-Holocene, but more research is needed to firmly resolve the conundrum and to advance our understanding of slow-moving climate variability.
Indexed as
Identifiers
36792734What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.