ArticleThe American journal of clinical nutrition2023
Incidence of obesity across adulthood in the United States, 2001-2017-a national prospective analysis.
Article in The American journal of clinical nutrition, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.
- Impact of blood lipid levels on breast cancer prognosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Pooled it
- A Nutrient Ratio-Based, Web-Enabled Food Quality Score Is Associated With Weight and Blood Pressure Compared With Leading Nutrient Profiling Systems.Current developments in nutrition · 2026Article
- Micronutrient Deficiencies in Obese Patients and Risk of Postoperative Fistula: A Forgotten Link in Bariatric and Metabolic Surgery.Nutrients · 2026Review
- Incidence rates of twelve chronic diseases/conditions in US adults: findings from a population-based study.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2026Article
- Mortality trends of endometrial cancer in the female adult population of the United States from 1999 to 2020.Frontiers in oncology · 2026Article
- Obesity from Childhood to Mid-adulthood in the United States: A Synthetic Cohort Approach to Measuring Health Trajectories.Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2026Article
- Early-onset colorectal cancer as an emerging disease of metabolic dysregulation.Nature reviews. Endocrinology · 2025Review
- Esophageal high-resolution manometry and 24 h pH-impedance monitoring normative values in patients with obesity candidate for bariatric and metabolic surgery.Updates in surgery · 2025Article
- Impact of Metabolic Surgery on the Severity and Outcomes of Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Matched Cohort Study.Obesity surgery · 2025Article
- Chronicity of obesity and the importance of early treatment to reduce cardiometabolic risk and improve body composition.Obesity pillars · 2025Review
- Comparison of obesity prevalence and associated factors among Thai patients with type 2 diabetes between 2014 and 2018.Diabetology & metabolic syndrome · 2025Article
- Unilateral Biportal Endoscopic Discectomy (UBE) Versus Percutaneous Endoscopic Lumbar Discectomy (PELD) for Treating Lumbar Disc Herniation in Obese Patients: A Retrospective Study.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025Article
- Special Diets and Nutrient Intakes in Morbidly Obese US Adults in Comparison to the 2020-2025 Dietary Guidelines for Americans.Nutrition journal · 2025Article
- A Literature Review of Glutathione Therapy in Ameliorating Hepatic Dysfunction in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.Biomedicines · 2025Review
- The Global Burden of Cirrhosis and Other Chronic Liver Diseases in 2021.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2025Article
- Global, regional, and national burden of knee osteoarthritis attributable to high BMI: a systematic analysis from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2050.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Global Burden of Kidney Cancer Attributable to High Body Mass Index in Adults Aged 60 and Older from 1990 to 2021 and Projections to 2040: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study.Clinical epidemiology · 2025Article
- Does obesity and varying body mass index affect the clinical outcomes and safety of biportal endoscopic lumbar decompression? A comparative cohort study.Acta neurochirurgica · 2024Article
- Weight changes from early to middle adulthood and cardiometabolic multimorbidity later in life among middle-aged and older adults: a retrospective cohort study from the NHANES 1999-2018.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2024Article
- THE GROWING EVIDENCE OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OBESITY AND CANCER AND THE ROLE OF BARIATRIC SURGERY.Arquivos brasileiros de cirurgia digestiva : ABCD = Brazilian archives of digestive surgery · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundIn the United States, the prevalence of obesity among adults has increased 3-fold since the 1980s, but patterns of incidence of new cases of obesity are not known.
objectivesTo examine the incidence of new cases of obesity: overall, by demographic and educational subgroups, by weight status, and changes during this century.
methodsWe analyzed adult (≥20 y) anthropometric records from the US nationally representative Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 2001 to 2017. Among those not having obesity (body mass index, BMI, ≥30 kg/m
resultsAmong 13,888 adults followed for 115,797 PYs, the incidence of obesity in 2001-2017 was 28.1/1000 PYs (95% CI: 26.7, 29.7). Over the periods 2001-2005, 2005-2009, and 2009-2013, the incidence of obesity was stable, but in 2013-2017 the incidence increased by 18% compared to 2009-2013 [IRR: 1.18 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.30)]. Blacks had higher obesity incidence [47.9/1000 PYs (95% CI: 42.7, 53.1)] than Whites [26.2/1000 PYs (95% CI: 24.6, 27.9)]. Risk was particularly high among Black females [57.9/1000 PYs (95% CI: 49.1, 66.8)] and Black young adults (20-29 y) [65.5/1000 PYs (95% CI: 54.2, 76.7)]. Across race, obesity incidence was highest in young adults (20-29 y) [34.1/1000 PYs (95% CI: 31.5, 36.7)] and declined with age [age 70+ y: 18.9/1000 PYs (95% CI: 16.6, 21.8)]. Those with overweight had an obesity risk 7 times higher than those with normal weight [62.1/1000 PYs (95% CI: 58.8, 65.3) vs. 8.8/1000 PYs (95% CI: 8.1, 9.6)]. Those with less than high-school education had higher obesity incidence than those with education beyond high-school [39.4/1000 PYs (95% CI: 34.4, 44.4) vs. 24.7/1000 PYs (95% CI: 23.1, 26.3)].
conclusionsIncidence of obesity was stable over the first 13 y of the last 2 decades but increased by 18% in 2013-2017. Blacks and younger adults were at highest risk, and those with overweight were also at high risk for developing obesity.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.