ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2023
The Impact of Cold Ambient Temperature in the Pattern of Influenza Virus Infection.
Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.
- Influenza Disease Burden and Vaccine Effectiveness in Children and Adolescents With Solid Organ Transplant: 2018-2024.Pediatric transplantation · 2026Article
- Environmental drivers of influenza A and B: causal analysis and forecasting.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Heat effects on influenza-like illness and heterogeneity factors across regions: based on 333 cities in China.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Links between influenza epidemics, weather characteristics and all-cause mortality in the Czech Republic, 1982-2020.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Climate Change and the Impact on Ocular Infectious Diseases: A Narrative Review.Ophthalmology and therapy · 2025Review
- Spatiotemporal patterns of influenza in Western Australia.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2025Article
- Retrospective Single-Center Study on the Epidemiological Characteristics of Influenza B Infections in Korea (2007-2024): Analysis of Sex, Age, and Seasonal Patterns.Microorganisms · 2025Article
- Air Pollution and Influenza Incidence: Evidence from Highly Polluted Countries.Iranian journal of public health · 2025Article
- Epidemiological patterns of influenza viruses among severe acute respiratory infection patients in Burkina Faso, 2016-2019: a surveillance study.The Pan African medical journal · 2025Article
- Therapeutic Potential ofInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Prior literature suggests that cold temperature strongly influences the immune function of animals and human behaviors, which may allow for the transmission of respiratory viral infections. However, information on the impact of cold stimuli, especially the impact of temporal change in the ambient temperature on influenza virus transmission, is limited. Methods: A susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible model was applied to evaluate the effect of temperature change on influenza virus transmission. Results: The mean temperature of the prior week was positively associated with the number of newly diagnosed cases (0.107 [95% Bayesian credible interval {BCI}, .106-.109]), whereas the mean difference in the temperature of the prior week was negatively associated (-0.835 [95% BCI, -.840 to -.830]). The product of the mean temperature and mean difference in the temperature of the previous week were also negatively associated with the number of newly diagnosed cases (-0.192 [95% BCI, -.197 to -.187]). Conclusions: The mean temperature and the mean difference in temperature affected the number of newly diagnosed influenza cases differently. Our data suggest that high ambient temperature and a drop in the temperature and their interaction increase the risk of infection. Therefore, the highest risk of infection is attributable to a steep fall in temperature in a relatively warm environment.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.