Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36787351›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Planet-compatible pathways for transitioning the chemical industry.

Fanran Meng, Andreas Wagner, Alexandre B Kremer, Daisuke Kanazawa, Jane J Leung, Peter Goult, Min Guan, Sophie Herrmann, Eveline Speelman, Pim Sauter and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Nanomaterial Integration at Liquid-Liquid Interfaces for Green Catalysis.Advanced materials (Deerfield Beach, Fla.) · 2026
    Review
  2. China's petrochemical plants' COScience advances · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A global analysis of the rise, reign, and retreat of topics in research toward sustainable platform chemicals.Green chemistry : an international journal and green chemistry resource : GC · 2025
    Article
  6. Supply-demand strategies for near-term climate benefits from hydrogen in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Mixotrophy for carbon-conserving waste upcycling.PLoS computational biology · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Fanran MengDepartment of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9014-1231
Andreas WagnerSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Alexandre B KremerSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Daisuke KanazawaCenter for Global Commons, Institute for Future Initiatives, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8654, Japan.
Jane J LeungSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Peter GoultSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Min GuanSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Sophie HerrmannSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Eveline SpeelmanSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Pim SauterSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5697-2357
Shajeeshan LingeswaranSystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Martin M StuchteySystemiq, London EC4V 5EQ, UK.
Katja HansenInstitute of Energy Efficient and Sustainable Design and Building, Technical University ounich 80333, München, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-5746-3124
Eric MasanetBren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93117.
André C SerrenhoDepartment of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, UK.
Naoko IshiiCenter for Global Commons, Institute for Future Initiatives, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8654, Japan.
Yasunori KikuchiDepartment of Chemical System Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8656, Japan.
Jonathan M CullenDepartment of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, UK.

Funding

C-THRU NAMitsubishi Chemical Corporation (MCC) NAUniversity of Tokyo (도쿄대학) NA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Chemical products, such as plastics, solvents, and fertilizers, are essential for supporting modern lifestyles. Yet, producing, using, and disposing of chemicals creates adverse environmental impacts which threaten the industry's license to operate. This study presents seven planet-compatible pathways toward 2050 employing demand-side and supply-side interventions with cumulative total investment costs of US$1.2-3.7 trillion. Resource efficiency and circularity interventions reduce global chemicals demand by 23 to 33% and are critical for mitigating risks associated with using fossil feedstocks and carbon capture and sequestration, and constraints on available biogenic and recyclate feedstocks. Replacing fossil feedstocks with biogenic/air-capture sources, shifting carbon destinations from the atmosphere to ground, and electrifying/decarbonizing energy supply for production technologies could enable net negative emissions of 0.5 GtCO

Indexed as

chemicalscircularityclimate changefertilizersplastics

Identifiers

PMID36787351
PMCPMC9974437

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.