Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36782196›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2023

Understanding work-related travel and its relation to malaria occurrence in Thailand using geospatial maximum entropy modelling.

Natalie Memarsadeghi, Kathleen Stewart, Yao Li, Siriporn Sornsakrin, Nichaphat Uthaimongkol, Worachet Kuntawunginn, Kingkan Pidtana, Chatree Raseebut, Mariusz Wojnarski, Krisada Jongsakul and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Natalie MemarsadeghiDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA.
Kathleen StewartDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA. stewartk@umd.edu.
Yao LiDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA. liyao@umd.edu.
Siriporn SornsakrinArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Nichaphat UthaimongkolArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Worachet KuntawunginnArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Kingkan PidtanaArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Chatree RaseebutDivision of Vector Borne Diseases, Ministry of Public Health, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand.
Mariusz WojnarskiArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Krisada JongsakulArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Danai JearakulDivision of Vector Borne Diseases, Ministry of Public Health, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand.
Norman WatersArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Michele SpringArmed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences (AFRIMS), Bangkok, Thailand.
Shannon Takala-HarrisonCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Funding

Genomic and geospatial analyses of malaria parasite migration to inform eliminationR01AI145852 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI HARRISON, SHANNON TAKALA, O'CONNOR, TIMOTHY DAVID · 2020 to 2024
$3.7M
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases 1R01AI145852National Science Foundation BCS2049805NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI145852
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEstimating malaria risk associated with work locations and travel across a region provides local health officials with information useful to mitigate possible transmission paths of malaria as well as understand the risk of exposure for local populations. This study investigates malaria exposure risk by analysing the spatial pattern of malaria cases (primarily Plasmodium vivax) in Ubon Ratchathani and Sisaket provinces of Thailand, using an ecological niche model and machine learning to estimate the species distribution of P. vivax malaria and compare the resulting niche areas with occupation type, work locations, and work-related travel routes.

methodsA maximum entropy model was trained to estimate the distribution of P. vivax malaria for a period between January 2019 and April 2020, capturing estimated malaria occurrence for these provinces. A random simulation workflow was developed to make region-based case data usable for the machine learning approach. This workflow was used to generate a probability surface for the ecological niche regions. The resulting niche regions were analysed by occupation type, home and work locations, and work-related travel routes to determine the relationship between these variables and malaria occurrence. A one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) test was used to understand the relationship between predicted malaria occurrence and occupation type.

resultsThe MaxEnt (full name) model indicated a higher occurrence of P. vivax malaria in forested areas especially along the Thailand-Cambodia border. The ANOVA results showed a statistically significant difference between average malaria risk values predicted from the ecological niche model for rubber plantation workers and farmers, the two main occupation groups in the study. The rubber plantation workers were found to be at higher risk of exposure to malaria than farmers in Ubon Ratchathani and Sisaket provinces of Thailand.

conclusionThe results from this study point to occupation-related factors such as work location and the routes travelled to work, being risk factors in malaria occurrence and possible contributors to transmission among local populations.

Indexed as

MalariaMalaria, FalciparumMalaria, VivaxEntropyHumansPlasmodium vivaxRisk FactorsRubberThailandTravelRubber

Identifiers

PMID36782196
PMCPMC9924182

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.