Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36780956›Full record

ArticleDiabetes research and clinical practice2023

Impact of diabetes on longevity and disability-free life expectancy among older South African adults: A prospective longitudinal analysis.

Collin F Payne, Lilipramawanty K Liwin, Alisha N Wade, Brian Houle, Jacques D Du Toit, David Flood, Jennifer Manne-Goehler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes research and clinical practice, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Triple A Plus (AAAAmerican journal of hematology · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Collin F PayneSchool of Demography, Research School of Social Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia; Center for Population and Development Studies, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Cambridge, USA.
Lilipramawanty K LiwinSchool of Demography, Research School of Social Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Alisha N WadeMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Heath Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Brian HouleSchool of Demography, Research School of Social Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia; MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Heath Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Jacques D Du ToitMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Heath Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
David FloodDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA; Veterans Affairs Center for Clinical Management Research, Ann Arbor, MI, USA; Center for Indigenous Health Research, Maya Health Alliance, Tecpán, Guatemala. Electronic address: dcflood@umich.edu.
Jennifer Manne-GoehlerCenter for Population and Development Studies, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Cambridge, USA; Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, USA.

Funding

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC PREDICTORS OF PHYSICAL AND COGNITIVE FUNCTIONP01AG041710 · NIA · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Michele Michele Ramsay · 2013 to 2026
$37.3M
Research BaseP30DK092926 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MARY ELLEN MICHELE HEISLER, ADESUWA B OLOMU · 2011 to 2026
$10.0M
Preventing Weight Gain and Diabetes in People with HIV in South AfricaK23DK125162 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MANNE-GOEHLER, JENNIFER · 2020 to 2024
$986k
Implementation research for comprehensive cardiometabolic care in GuatemalaK23HL161271 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI David Clifford Flood · 2022 to 2026
$949k
Endocrine and metabolic diseases in rural South Africa-establishing burden and improving detectionK43TW010698 · FIC · WITS HEALTH CONSORTIUM (PTY), LTD · PI WADE, ALISHA NICOLE · 2017 to 2021
$581k
FIC NIH HHS K43 TW010698NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL161271NIA NIH HHS P01 AG041710NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK125162NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK092926Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsWe seek to understand the coexisting effects of population aging and a rising burden of diabetes on healthy longevity in South Africa.

methodsWe used longitudinal data from the 2015 and 2018 waves of the "Health and Aging in Africa: A Longitudinal Study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa" (HAALSI) study to explore life expectancy (LE) and disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) of adults aged 45 and older with and without diabetes in rural South Africa. We estimated LE and DFLE by diabetes status using Markov-based microsimulation.

resultsWe find a clear gradient in remaining LE and DFLE based on diabetes status. At age 45, a man without diabetes could expect to live 7.4 [95% CI 3.4 - 11.7] more years than a man with diabetes, and a woman without diabetes could expect to live 3.9 [95% CI: 0.8 - 6.9] more years than a woman with diabetes. Individuals with diabetes lived proportionately more years subject to disability than individuals without diabetes.

conclusionsWe find large and important decrements in disability-free aging for people with diabetes in South Africa. This finding should motivate efforts to strengthen prevention and treatment efforts for diabetes and its complications for older adults in this setting.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusPersons with DisabilitiesAgedFemaleHealthy Life ExpectancyHumansLife ExpectancyLongevityLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesSouth AfricaADL disabilityChronic diseaseDiabetes mellitusSub-Saharan Africa

Identifiers

PMID36780956
PMCPMC10023447

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.