Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36780518›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Effective bet-hedging through growth rate dependent stability.

Daan H de Groot, Age J Tjalma, Frank J Bruggeman, Erik van Nimwegen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Exploring bet-hedging inmSystems · 2026
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  7. Review
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  9. A tunable affinity fusion tag for protein self-assembly.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Contributions of transcriptional noise to leukaemia evolution: KAT2A as a case-study.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Review
  13. Article
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  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Daan H de GrootBiozentrum and Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, University of Basel, Basel 4056, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7070-8950
Age J TjalmaSystems Biology Lab, Amsterdam Institute of Molecular and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam 1081HZ, The Netherlands.
Frank J BruggemanSystems Biology Lab, Amsterdam Institute of Molecular and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam 1081HZ, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-0255-4766
Erik van NimwegenBiozentrum and Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, University of Basel, Basel 4056, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6338-1312

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Microbes in the wild face highly variable and unpredictable environments and are naturally selected for their average growth rate across environments. Apart from using sensory regulatory systems to adapt in a targeted manner to changing environments, microbes employ bet-hedging strategies where cells in an isogenic population switch stochastically between alternative phenotypes. Yet, bet-hedging suffers from a fundamental trade-off: Increasing the phenotype-switching rate increases the rate at which maladapted cells explore alternative phenotypes but also increases the rate at which cells switch out of a well-adapted state. Consequently, it is currently believed that bet-hedging strategies are effective only when the number of possible phenotypes is limited and when environments last for sufficiently many generations. However, recent experimental results show that gene expression noise generally decreases with growth rate, suggesting that phenotype-switching rates may systematically decrease with growth rate. Such growth rate dependent stability (GRDS) causes cells to be more explorative when maladapted and more phenotypically stable when well-adapted, and we show that GRDS can almost completely overcome the trade-off that limits bet-hedging, allowing for effective adaptation even when environments are diverse and change rapidly. We further show that even a small decrease in switching rates of faster-growing phenotypes can substantially increase long-term fitness of bet-hedging strategies. Together, our results suggest that stochastic strategies may play an even bigger role for microbial adaptation than hitherto appreciated.

Indexed as

AcclimatizationBiological EvolutionAdaptation, PhysiologicalPhenotypebet-hedginggrowth rate dependent stabilitymicrobial adaptationmicrobial population dynamicsphenotypic heterogeneity

Identifiers

PMID36780518
PMCPMC9974493

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.