Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36780515›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Disease burden among Ukrainians forcibly displaced by the 2022 Russian invasion.

Abhishek Pandey, Chad R Wells, Valentyn Stadnytskyi, Seyed M Moghadas, Madhav V Marathe, Pratha Sah, William Crystal, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Burton H Singer, Olena Nesterova and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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  16. Ending tuberculosis in Europe - resetting the course in the post-COVID-19 era.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
    Article
  17. Disease burden among Ukrainians forcibly displaced by the 2022 Russian invasion.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Abhishek PandeyCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520.
Chad R WellsCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520.ORCID 0000-0003-1370-8350
Valentyn StadnytskyiThe Laboratory of Chemical Physics, NIDDK, NIH, Bethesda, MD 20892.ORCID 0000-0002-7202-6846
Seyed M MoghadasAgent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada, M3J 1P3.ORCID 0000-0003-4414-0227
Madhav V MaratheNetwork Systems Science and Advanced Computing Division, Biocomplexity Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904.ORCID 0000-0003-1653-0658
Pratha SahCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520.ORCID 0000-0001-8936-5871
William CrystalCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520.
Lauren Ancel MeyersThe University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.
Burton H SingerEmerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610.ORCID 0000-0002-5295-5971
Olena NesterovaUkrainian Institute for Public Health Research, Public Health Center of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine 04071.
Alison P GalvaniCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520.

Funding

Accelerating viral outbreak detection in US cities using mechanistic models, machine learning and diverse geospatial dataR01AI151176 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has displaced more than a quarter of the population. Assessing disease burdens among displaced people is instrumental in informing global public health and humanitarian aid efforts. We estimated the disease burden in Ukrainians displaced both within Ukraine and to other countries by combining a spatiotemporal model of forcible displacement with age- and gender-specific estimates of cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, cancer, HIV, and tuberculosis (TB) in each of Ukraine's 629 raions (i.e., districts). Among displaced Ukrainians as of May 13, we estimated that more than 2.63 million have CVDs, at least 615,000 have diabetes, and over 98,500 have cancer. In addition, more than 86,000 forcibly displaced individuals are living with HIV, and approximately 13,500 have TB. We estimated that the disease prevalence among refugees was lower than the national disease prevalence before the invasion. Accounting for internal displacement and healthcare facilities impacted by the conflict, we estimated that the number of people per hospital has increased by more than two-fold in some areas. As regional healthcare systems come under increasing strain, these estimates can inform the allocation of critical resources under shifting disease burdens.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesHIV InfectionsRefugeesTuberculosisCost of IllnessDelivery of Health CareEastern European PeopleHumansPublic Healthconflicthealthrefugee

Identifiers

PMID36780515
PMCPMC9974407

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.