Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36777768›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in public health2022

The pooled estimate of the total fertility rate in sub-Saharan Africa using recent (2010-2018) Demographic and Health Survey data.

Desalegn Tesfa, Sofonyas Abebaw Tiruneh, Alemayehu Digssie Gebremariam, Melkalem Mamuye Azanaw, Melaku Tadege Engidaw, Belayneh Kefale, Bedilu Abebe, Tsion Dessalegn, Mulu Tiruneh

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Desalegn TesfaDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Sofonyas Abebaw TirunehDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Alemayehu Digssie GebremariamDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Melkalem Mamuye AzanawDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Melaku Tadege EngidawDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Belayneh KefaleDepartment of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.
Bedilu AbebeDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Tsion DessalegnDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.
Mulu TirunehDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Debre Tabor University, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Even though the total fertility rate (TFR) has decreased significantly over the past decades in many countries, it has remained stable in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. However, there is variation among the sub-regions and inhabitants of SSA. Therefore, this study aimed to conduct a meta-analysis of demographic and health surveys (DHS) to estimate the pooled level of TFR in SSA and to depict sub-regional and inhabitant differences. Methods: The data source for this study was the standard Demographic and Health Survey datasets of 33 sub-Saharan African countries, accessed through www.meaasuredhs.com between 2010 and 2018. The point estimate of the total fertility rate with its corresponding standard error in each sub-Saharan African country was estimated using the Results: The study comprised 1,324,466 live births in total. The pooled estimate of sub-Saharan Africa's overall fertility rate was five children per woman (95% CI: 4.63-5.37). Consequently, the pooled estimate of total fertility for people living in urban and rural areas was 3.90 (95% CI: 3.60-4.21) and 5.82 (95% CI: 5.43-6.21) children per woman, respectively. In sub-group analysis, the pooled estimates of the TFR for the East African, Central African, Southern African, and West African regions, respectively, were 4.74, 5.59, 3.18, and 5.38 children per woman. Total fertility rates were greater in low-income nations (5.45), lower-middle-income countries (4.70), and high-middle-income countries (3.80). Conclusions: SSA has a relatively high total fertility rate. The regions of West and Central Africa have the highest overall fertility rate. The fertility rate is higher in countries with a large rural population and low income. Strategies should be developed to address this public health concern, especially in rural Central and Western Africa.

Indexed as

Birth RateFertilityAfrica South of the SaharaChildFemaleHealth ServicesHumansRural Populationdemographichealth surveypooledsub-Saharan Africatotal fertility rate

Identifiers

PMID36777768
PMCPMC9909402

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.