Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36777654›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2022

Cirrhosis etiology trends in developing countries: Transition from infectious to metabolic conditions. Report from a multicentric cohort in central Mexico.

Alex Gonzalez-Chagolla, Antonio Olivas-Martinez, Jesus Ruiz-Manriquez, Maximiliano Servín-Rojas, Eric Kauffman-Ortega, Luis Carlos Chávez-García, Oscar Juárez-León, Jacqueline Cordova-Gallardo, Juan Daniel Díaz-García, Maria Sarai Gonzalez-Huezo and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Steatotic liver disease in Latin America: current views and perspectives.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. The Global Burden of Cirrhosis and Other Chronic Liver Diseases in 2021.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Changing Trends in the Etiology of Cirrhosis in Türkiye: A Multicenter Nationwide Study.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Global epidemiology of cirrhosis - aetiology, trends and predictions.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2023
    Review
  18. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Alex Gonzalez-ChagollaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Antonio Olivas-MartinezDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.
Jesus Ruiz-ManriquezDepartment of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Maximiliano Servín-RojasLiver transplant unit and department of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Av. Vasco de Quiroga 15, colonia Belisario Domínguez Sección XVI, Tlalpan, Mexico City 14080, Mexico.
Eric Kauffman-OrtegaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Luis Carlos Chávez-GarcíaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Oscar Juárez-LeónDepartment of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Jacqueline Cordova-GallardoHepatology clinic, Department of Surgery, Hospital General Dr Manuel Gea Gonzalez, Mexico City, Mexico.
Juan Daniel Díaz-GarcíaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Hospital General Dr Manuel Gea Gonzalez,Mexico City, Mexico.
Maria Sarai Gonzalez-HuezoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Centro Médico ISSEMYM, Toluca, State of Mexico, Mexico.
Guadalupe Milanés-LizarragaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Centro Médico ISSEMYM, Toluca, State of Mexico, Mexico.
Victor M Paez-ZayasOrgan Transplant Department, Hospital General de Mexico Doctor Eduardo Liceaga, Mexico City, Mexico.
Mauricio Castillo-BarradasDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital de Especialidades Dr Antonio Fraga Mouret Centro Médico Nacional La Raza IMSS, Mexico City, Mexico.
Orestes de Jesús Cobos-QuevedoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital de Especialidades Dr Antonio Fraga Mouret Centro Médico Nacional La Raza IMSS, Mexico City, Mexico.
Francisco Isaí García-JuárezDepartment of Gastroenterology. Hospital Regional Licenciado Adolfo López Mateos, Mexico City, Mexico.
José Alberto Romero-LozaníaDepartment of Gastroenterology. Hospital Regional Licenciado Adolfo López Mateos, Mexico City, Mexico.
Liz Toapanta-YanchapaxiNeuromuscular Disease Clinic, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Juan Francisco Sánchez-AvilaEscuela de Medicina y Ciencias de la Salud, Tecnológico de Monterrey, Nuevo León, Mexico.
José Alonso Avila-RojoDepartment of Internal Medicine, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Aliberth Bonilla-SalasDepartment of Surgery, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Michelle Dirthurbide-HernándezSchool of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Morelos, Morelos, Mexico.
Isaac RuizDepartment of Hepatology and Liver Transplantation, Centre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal (CHUM), Canada.
Ana K Valenzuela-VidalesDepartment of Hematology-Oncology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico.
Ignacio García-JuárezLiver transplant unit and department of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Av. Vasco de Quiroga 15, colonia Belisario Domínguez Sección XVI, Tlalpan, Mexico City 14080, Mexico.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Cirrhosis is a public health threat associated with high mortality. Alcoholic Liver Disease (ALD) is the leading cause in Latin America and Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) in western countries. In Mexico, ALD and chronic Hepatitis C Virus infection (HCV) were the most frequent aetiologies during the past decades. We aimed to describe the trends in the aetiologies of cirrhosis in a middle-income country. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study including patients diagnosed with cirrhosis between 2000 and 2019 from six different tertiary care hospitals in central Mexico. We collected information regarding cirrhosis etiology, year of diagnosis, hepatocellular carcinoma development, liver transplantation, and death. We illustrated the change in the tendencies of cirrhosis aetiologies by displaying the proportional incidence of each etiology over time stratified by age and gender, and we compared these proportions over time using chi square tests. Findings: Overall, 4,584 patients were included. In 2019, MAFLD was the most frequent cirrhosis etiology (30%), followed by ALD (24%) and HCV (23%). During the study period, MAFLD became the leading etiology, ALD remained second, and HCV passed from first to fourth. When analysed by gender, ALD was the leading etiology for men and MAFLD for women. The annual incidence of HCC was 3·84 cases/100 persons-year, the median survival after diagnosis was 12·1 years, and seven percent underwent LT. Interpretation: Increased alcohol consumption and the obesity epidemic have caused a transition in the aetiologies of cirrhosis in Mexico. Public health policies must be tailored accordingly to mitigate the burden of alcohol and metabolic conditions in developing countries. Funding: None.

Indexed as

Alcohol liver diseaseCirrhosisHepatitis C VirusHepatocellular carcinomaLiver transplantationMAFLD

Identifiers

PMID36777654
PMCPMC9904121

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.