Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36776456›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2022

Effects of 2019's social protests on emergency health services utilization and case severity in Santiago, Chile: a time-series analysis.

Abraham I J Gajardo, Thomas D Wagner, Kristina Devi Howell, Andrés González-Santa Cruz, Jay S Kaufman, Alvaro Castillo-Carniglia

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Emergency department medical care during civil unrest: a narrative review.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Chile's public healthcare sector hypertension control rates before and during the pandemic and HEARTS implementation.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Abraham I J GajardoIntensive Care Unit, Department of Medicine, Hospital Clínico Universidad de Chile, Universidad de Chile. Dr. Carlos Lorca Tobar 999, Independencia, Santiago, Chile.
Thomas D WagnerVagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University. 630 W 168th St, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Kristina Devi HowellMailman School of Public Health, Columbia University. 722 W 168th St, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Andrés González-Santa CruzSociety and Health Research Center and School of Public Health, Universidad Mayor, Chile. Badajoz 130, Las Condes, Santiago, Chile.
Jay S KaufmanDepartment of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University. 1020 Pine Avenue West, Montreal, QC H3A1A2, Canada.
Alvaro Castillo-CarnigliaSociety and Health Research Center and School of Public Health, Universidad Mayor, Chile. Badajoz 130, Las Condes, Santiago, Chile.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: On October 18th, 2019, protestors gathered across Chile to call for social equity, resulting in widespread civil unrest and violent confrontation with the police. In this study, we quantify the effects of the 2019 Chilean protests on emergency health services utilization and inpatient admission in Santiago. Methods: We used weekly emergency department (ED) admissions (2015-2019) from three large public hospitals near the focal point of protests in Santiago. The exposure period was from October 18th to December 31st, 2019. The outcomes were the number of weekly consultations and hospitalizations by trauma and respiratory causes and the proportion of hospitalizations among consultants per 1,000. We implemented Bayesian structural time series models to calculate the absolute and relative effects and 95% credible intervals (CrI). Findings: During the first ten weeks of protests ED consultations declined on average by 14% for trauma (95%CrI: -40·2%, 11·5%) and 30% for respiratory causes (95%CrI: -89·4%, 30·2%), 7% for respiratory hospitalizations (95%CrI: -43·6%, 30·8%); however, none of these three results were statistically distinguishable from the null. Trauma hospitalizations, on the other hand, increased by 15% (95%CrI: 4·0%, 26·4%), and the proportion of hospitalizations per consultations increased by 40% for trauma (95%CrI: 13·1%, 68·0%) and 59% for respiratory causes (95%CrI: 29·4%, 87·9%). Interpretation: The 2019 Chilean protests affected the use of emergency health services by increasing the trauma hospitalizations and the case hospitalization ratio per 1,000 consultations for trauma and respiratory causes. Crowd-control protocols must be reviewed to prevent the negative effects of civil unrest.

Indexed as

civil unrestemergency departmentsocial proteststrauma, respiratory, Chile

Identifiers

PMID36776456
PMCPMC9903909

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.