Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36774817›Full record

ArticleJournal of critical care2023

Accurate and interpretable prediction of ICU-acquired AKI.

Emma Schwager, Erina Ghosh, Larry Eshelman, Kalyan S Pasupathy, Erin F Barreto, Kianoush Kashani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of critical care, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Emma SchwagerPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Erina GhoshPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Larry EshelmanPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Kalyan S PasupathyDepartment of Biomedical & Health Information Sciences, University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA; Center for Clinical & Translational Science, University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA.
Erin F BarretoDepartment of Pharmacy, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Kianoush KashaniDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA; Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. Electronic address: Kashani.Kianoush@mayo.edu.

Funding

AI driven acute renal replacement therapy - (AID-ART)R01DK131586 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CLERMONT, GILLES, KASHANI, KIANOUSH B · 2021 to 2024
$2.5M
Beta-lactam individualization for critically ill patientsK23AI143882 · NIAID · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI BARRETO, ERIN FRAZEE · 2020 to 2024
$986k
NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI143882NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK131586
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe developed and validated two parsimonious algorithms to predict the time of diagnosis of any stage of acute kidney injury (any-AKI) or moderate-to-severe AKI in clinically actionable prediction windows. MATERIALS AND

methodsIn this retrospective single-center cohort of adult ICU admissions, we trained two gradient-boosting models: 1) any-AKI model, predicting the risk of any-AKI at least 6 h before diagnosis (50,342 admissions), and 2) moderate-to-severe AKI model, predicting the risk of moderate-to-severe AKI at least 12 h before diagnosis (39,087 admissions). Performance was assessed before disease diagnosis and validated prospectively.

resultsThe models achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.756 at six hours (any-AKI) and 0.721 at 12 h (moderate-to-severe AKI) prior. Prospectively, both models had high positive predictive values (0.796 and 0.546 for any-AKI and moderate-to-severe AKI models, respectively) and triggered more in patients who developed AKI vs. those who did not (median of 1.82 [IQR 0-4.71] vs. 0 [IQR 0-0.73] and 2.35 [IQR 0.14-4.96] vs. 0 [IQR 0-0.8] triggers per 8 h for any-AKI and moderate-to-severe AKI models, respectively).

conclusionsThe two AKI prediction models have good discriminative performance using common features, which can aid in accurately and informatively monitoring AKI risk in ICU patients.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryHospitalizationAdultHumansIntensive Care UnitsProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesROC CurveAcute kidney injuryArtificial intelligenceMachine learningPrediction

Identifiers

PMID36774817
PMCPMC10121926

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.