Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36768062›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2023

Mean Temperature and Drought Projections in Central Africa: A Population-Based Study of Food Insecurity, Childhood Malnutrition and Mortality, and Infectious Disease.

Munum Hassan, Kinza Saif, Muhammad Saad Ijaz, Zouina Sarfraz, Azza Sarfraz, Karla Robles-Velasco, Ivan Cherrez-Ojeda

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Exploring the Effects of Climate Change on Child Malnutrition: A Scoping Review.Journal of human nutrition and dietetics : the official journal of the British Dietetic Association · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Munum HassanDepartment of Research, Akhtar Saeed Medical College, University of Health Sciences, Lahore 54000, Pakistan.
Kinza SaifDepartment of Research, Wah Medical College, University of Health Sciences, Wah Cantt 47000, Pakistan.
Muhammad Saad IjazDepartment of Research, Rawalpindi Medical University, Rawalpindi 46000, Pakistan.
Zouina SarfrazDepartment of Research and Publications, Fatima Jinnah Medical University, Lahore 54000, Pakistan.ORCID 0000-0002-5132-7455
Azza SarfrazDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, The Aga Khan University, Karachi 74800, Pakistan.
Karla Robles-VelascoDepartment of Allergy and Pulmonology, Universidad Espíritu Santo, Samborondón 092301, Ecuador.ORCID 0000-0001-7780-1015
Ivan Cherrez-OjedaDepartment of Allergy and Pulmonology, Universidad Espíritu Santo, Samborondón 092301, Ecuador.ORCID 0000-0002-1610-239X
Universidad de Especialidades Espíritu Santo · ECAga Khan University · PKFatima Jinnah Medical University · PKRawalpindi Medical University · PKUniversity of Health Sciences Lahore · PKUniversity of Wah · PK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Central African Region is an agricultural and fishing-based economy, with 40% of the population living in rural communities. The negative impacts of climate change have caused economic/health-related adverse impacts and food insecurity. This original article aims to research four key themes: (i) acute food insecurity (AFI); (ii) childhood malnutrition and mortality; (iii) infectious disease burden; and (iv) drought and mean temperature projections throughout the twenty-first century. Food insecurity was mapped in Central Africa based on the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) for AFI. The global hunger index (GHI) was presented along with the proportion of children with undernourishment, stunting, wasting, and mortality. Data for infectious disease burden was computed by assessing the adjusted rate of change (AROC) of mortality due to diarrhea among children and the burden of death rates due to pneumonia across all age groups. Finally, the mean drought index was computed through the year 2100. This population-based study identifies high levels of hunger across a majority of the countries, with the mean drought index suggesting extreme ends of wet and dry days and an overall rise of 1-3 °C. This study is a source of evidence for stakeholders, policymakers, and the population residing in Central Africa.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesMalnutritionAfrica, CentralChildDroughtsFood InsecurityFood SupplyHumansTemperatureCentral Africaclimate changedroughtfood insecurityglobal healthinfectious diseasemalnutritionmean temperaturemortality

Identifiers

PMID36768062
PMCPMC9915533
OpenAlexW4319159609

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.