ArticleFrontiers in oncology2022
Development and validation of a nomogram to predict overall survival in patients with incidental gallbladder cancer: A retrospective cohort study.
Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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5 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.
- Perioperative approaches for patients with biliary tract cancer.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026Review
- Predictive and prognostic models and visualizations of distant metastasis in gallbladder cancer.Medicine · 2025Article
- Pan-cancer and multiomics: advanced strategies for diagnosis, prognosis, and therapy in the complex genetic and molecular universe of cancer.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025Review
- Risk factors and survival prediction model establishment for prognosis in patients with radical resection of gallbladder cancer.World journal of gastrointestinal surgery · 2024Article
- A novel nomogram based on inflammatory-nutritional biomarkers for gallbladder cancer after surgical resection.BMC gastroenterology · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
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Abstract
Objective: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict the overall survival of incidental gallbladder cancer. Methods: A total of 383 eligible patients with incidental gallbladder cancer diagnosed in Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital from 2011 to 2021 were retrospectively included. They were randomly divided into a training cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). Univariate and multivariate analyses and the Akaike information criterion were used to identify variables independently associated with overall survival. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to construct the nomogram. The C-index, area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves were used to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the nomogram. Results: T stage, N metastasis, peritoneal metastasis, reresection and histology were independent prognostic factors for overall survival. Based on these predictors, a nomogram was successfully established. The C-index of the nomogram in the training cohort and validation cohort was 0.76 and 0.814, respectively. The AUCs of the nomogram in the training cohort were 0.8, 0.819 and 0.815 for predicting OS at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively, while the AUCs of the nomogram in the validation cohort were 0.846, 0.845 and 0.902 for predicting OS at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. Compared with the 8th AJCC staging system, the AUCs of the nomogram in the present study showed a better discriminative ability. Calibration curves for the training and validation cohorts showed excellent agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes at 1, 3 and 5 years. Conclusions: The nomogram in this study showed excellent discrimination and calibration in predicting overall survival in patients with incidental gallbladder cancer. It is useful for physicians to obtain accurate long-term survival information and to help them make optimal treatment and follow-up decisions.
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