Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36757946›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

A machine learning approach identifies distinct early-symptom cluster phenotypes which correlate with hospitalization, failure to return to activities, and prolonged COVID-19 symptoms.

Nusrat J Epsi, John H Powers, David A Lindholm, Katrin Mende, Allison Malloy, Anuradha Ganesan, Nikhil Huprikar, Tahaniyat Lalani, Alfred Smith, Rupal M Mody and 21 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors at 14 institutions in 1 country.

Nusrat J EpsiInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5363-075X
John H PowersClinical Research Directorate, Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, Frederick, Maryland, United States of America.
David A LindholmMolecular Biology Laboratory, Brooke Army Medical Center, San Antonio, Texas, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5428-7404
Katrin MendeInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Allison MalloyDepartment of Pediatrics, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Anuradha GanesanInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Nikhil HuprikarInfectious Disease Clinic, Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Tahaniyat LalaniInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Alfred SmithInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Naval Medical Center Portsmouth, Portsmouth, Virginia, United States of America.
Rupal M ModyInfectious Disease Clinic, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, El Paso, Texas, United States of America.
Milissa U JonesPediatric Infectious Diseases, Tripler Army Medical Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, United States of America.
Samantha E BazanFamily Nurse Practitioner and Women's Health Nurse Practitioner Program, Carl R. Darnall Army Medical Center, Fort Hood, Texas, United States of America.
Rhonda E ColomboInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Christopher J ColomboInfectious Disease Clinic, Madigan Army Medical Center, Tacoma, Washington, United States of America.
Evan C EwersInternal Medicine, Fort Belvoir Community Hospital, Fort Belvoir, Virginia, United States of America.
Derek T LarsonDepartment of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Catherine M BerjohnInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5655-8183
Carlos J MaldonadoDepartment of Research and Clinical Investigation, Womack Army Medical Center, Fort Bragg, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7484-9942
Paul W BlairHenry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Josh ChenowethHenry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
David L SaundersTranslational Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Jeffrey LivezeyTranslational Medicine Unit, Department of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Ryan C MavesInfectious Diseases and Critical Care Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6234-6160
Margaret Sanchez EdwardsInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Julia S RozmanInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0114-5140
Mark P SimonsInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
David R TribbleInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Brian K AganInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-5114-1669
Timothy H BurgessInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
Simon D PollettInfectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.
EPICC COVID-19 Cohort Study Group
Henry M. Jackson Foundation · USUniformed Services University of the Health Sciences · USNaval Medical Center San Diego · USWalter Reed National Military Medical Center · USAlexander T. Augusta Military Medical Center · USBrooke Army Medical Center · USCarl R. Darnall Army Medical Center · USFrederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research · USMadigan Army Medical Center · USNaval Medical Center Portsmouth · USTripler Army Medical Center · USWake Forest University · USWilliam Beaumont Army Medical Center · USWomack Army Medical Center · US

Funding

NIAID NIH HHS Y01 AI005072
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate COVID-19 prognosis is a critical aspect of acute and long-term clinical management. We identified discrete clusters of early stage-symptoms which may delineate groups with distinct disease severity phenotypes, including risk of developing long-term symptoms and associated inflammatory profiles.

methods1,273 SARS-CoV-2 positive U.S. Military Health System beneficiaries with quantitative symptom scores (FLU-PRO Plus) were included in this analysis. We employed machine-learning approaches to identify symptom clusters and compared risk of hospitalization, long-term symptoms, as well as peak CRP and IL-6 concentrations.

resultsWe identified three distinct clusters of participants based on their FLU-PRO Plus symptoms: cluster 1 ("Nasal cluster") is highly correlated with reporting runny/stuffy nose and sneezing, cluster 2 ("Sensory cluster") is highly correlated with loss of smell or taste, and cluster 3 ("Respiratory/Systemic cluster") is highly correlated with the respiratory (cough, trouble breathing, among others) and systemic (body aches, chills, among others) domain symptoms. Participants in the Respiratory/Systemic cluster were twice as likely as those in the Nasal cluster to have been hospitalized, and 1.5 times as likely to report that they had not returned-to-activities, which remained significant after controlling for confounding covariates (P < 0.01). Respiratory/Systemic and Sensory clusters were more likely to have symptoms at six-months post-symptom-onset (P = 0.03). We observed higher peak CRP and IL-6 in the Respiratory/Systemic cluster (P < 0.01).

conclusionsWe identified early symptom profiles potentially associated with hospitalization, return-to-activities, long-term symptoms, and inflammatory profiles. These findings may assist in patient prognosis, including prediction of long COVID risk.

Indexed as

COVID-19HospitalizationHumansInterleukin-6Machine LearningPhenotypePost-Acute COVID-19 SyndromeSARS-CoV-2Interleukin-6

Identifiers

PMID36757946
PMCPMC9910657
OpenAlexW4319656477

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC0
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.