Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36755228›Full record

ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2023

Prediction of pre-eclampsia at St. Mary's hospital lacor, a low-resource setting in northern Uganda, a prospective cohort study.

Silvia Awor, Benard Abola, Rosemary Byanyima, Christopher Garimoi Orach, Paul Kiondo, Dan Kabonge Kaye, Jasper Ogwal-Okeng, Annettee Nakimuli

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Silvia AworDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Faculty of Medicine, Gulu University, P.O.Box 166, Gulu, Uganda. s.awor@gu.ac.ug.
Benard AbolaDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Gulu University, P.O.Box 166, Gulu, Uganda.
Rosemary ByanyimaDepartment of Radiology, Mulago National Referral Hospital, PO Box 7051, Kampala, Uganda.
Christopher Garimoi OrachDepartment of Community Health, School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala City, Uganda.
Paul KiondoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, P.O.Box 7062, Kampala, Uganda.
Dan Kabonge KayeDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, P.O.Box 7062, Kampala, Uganda.
Jasper Ogwal-OkengDepartment of Pharmacology, Lira University, Lira, Uganda.
Annettee NakimuliDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, P.O.Box 7062, Kampala, Uganda.
Makerere University · UGGulu University · UGLira Hospital · UGMulago Hospital · UG

Funding

Makerere University 377
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPre-eclampsia is the second leading cause of maternal death in Uganda. However, mothers report to the hospitals late due to health care challenges. Therefore, we developed and validated the prediction models for prenatal screening for pre-eclampsia.

methodsThis was a prospective cohort study at St. Mary's hospital lacor in Gulu city. We included 1,004 pregnant mothers screened at 16-24 weeks (using maternal history, physical examination, uterine artery Doppler indices, and blood tests), followed up, and delivered. We built models in RStudio. Because the incidence of pre-eclampsia was low (4.3%), we generated synthetic balanced data using the ROSE (Random Over and under Sampling Examples) package in RStudio by over-sampling pre-eclampsia and under-sampling non-preeclampsia. As a result, we got 383 (48.8%) and 399 (51.2%) for pre-eclampsia and non-preeclampsia, respectively. Finally, we evaluated the actual model performance against the ROSE-derived synthetic dataset using K-fold cross-validation in RStudio.

resultsMaternal history of pre-eclampsia (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 32.75, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 6.59-182.05, p = 0.000), serum alkaline phosphatase(ALP) < 98 IU/L (aOR = 7.14, 95% CI 1.76-24.45, p = 0.003), diastolic hypertension ≥ 90 mmHg (aOR = 4.90, 95% CI 1.15-18.01, p = 0.022), bilateral end diastolic notch (aOR = 4.54, 95% CI 1.65-12.20, p = 0.003) and body mass index of ≥ 26.56 kg/m

conclusionThe predictors of pre-eclampsia were maternal age ≥ 35 years, nulliparity, maternal history of pre-eclampsia, body mass index, diastolic pressure, white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, serum ALP and end-diastolic notch of the uterine arteries. This prediction model can predict pre-eclampsia in prenatal clinics with 77% accuracy.

Indexed as

Pre-EclampsiaAdultFemaleHospitalsHumansMaternal AgePregnancyProspective StudiesUgandaUltrasonography, PrenatalAfricaBlood testsMaternal historyPre-eclampsiaRisk predictionUgandaUterine artery Doppler indices

Identifiers

PMID36755228
PMCPMC9906950
OpenAlexW4319596393

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.