Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36753468›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Coral Gardens Reef, Belize: An Acropora spp. refugium under threat in a warming world.

Lisa Greer, H Allen Curran, Karl Wirth, Robert Humston, Ginny Johnson, Lauren McManus, Candice Stefanic, Tara Clark, Halard Lescinsky, Kirah Forman-Castillo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Lisa GreerDepartment of Earth and Environmental Geoscience, Washington and Lee University, Lexington, Virginia, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-7350-1947
H Allen CurranDepartment of Geosciences, Smith College, Northampton, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Karl WirthDepartment of Geology, Macalester College, St. Paul, Minnesota, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-2236-7992
Robert HumstonDepartment of Biology, Washington and Lee University, Lexington, Virginia, United States of America.
Ginny JohnsonDepartment of Earth and Environmental Geoscience, Washington and Lee University, Lexington, Virginia, United States of America.
Lauren McManusDepartment of Earth and Environmental Geoscience, Washington and Lee University, Lexington, Virginia, United States of America.
Candice StefanicDepartment of Earth and Environmental Geoscience, Washington and Lee University, Lexington, Virginia, United States of America.
Tara ClarkSchool of Earth, Atmospheric, and Life Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia.
Halard LescinskyDepartment of Biology and Earth Science, Otterbein University, Westerville, Ohio, United States of America.
Kirah Forman-CastilloHol Chan Marine Reserve, San Pedro, Belize.ORCID 0000-0002-0371-9980
Washington and Lee University · USAmerican University · USMacalester College · USOtterbein University · USSmith College · USThe University of Queensland · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Live coral cover has declined precipitously on Caribbean reefs in recent decades. Acropora cervicornis coral has been particularly decimated, and few Western Atlantic Acropora spp. refugia remain. Coral Gardens, Belize, was identified in 2020 as a long-term refugium for this species. This study assesses changes in live A. cervicornis coral abundance over time at Coral Gardens to monitor the stability of A. cervicornis corals, and to explore potential threats to this important refugium. Live coral cover was documented annually from 2012-2019 along five permanent transects. In situ sea-surface temperature data were collected at Coral Gardens throughout the study period and compared with calibrated satellite data to calculate Maximum Monthly Mean (MMM) temperatures and Degree Heating Weeks (DHW). Data on bathymetry, sediment, substrate, herbivore abundance, and macroalgal abundance were collected in 2014 and 2019 to assess potential threats to Coral Gardens. Live coral cover declined at all five transect sites over the study period. The greatest loss of live coral occurred between 2016 and 2017, coincident with the earliest and highest maximum average temperatures recorded at the study site, and the passage of a hurricane in 2016. Structural storm damage was not observed at Coral Gardens, though live coral cover declined after the passage of the storm. Uranium-thorium (230Th) dating of 26 dead in situ fragments of A. cervicornis collected in 2015 from Coral Gardens revealed no correlation between coral mortality and tropical storms and hurricanes in the recent past. Our data suggest that several other common drivers for coral decline (i.e. herbivory, predation, sedimentation, pH) may likely be ruled out for Coral Gardens. At the end of the study period, Coral Gardens satisfied most criteria for refugium status. However, the early onset, higher mean, and longer duration of above-average temperatures, as well as intermittent temperature anomalies likely played a critical role in the stability of this refugium. We suggest that temperature stress in 2016 and perhaps 2015 may have increased coral tissue vulnerability at Coral Gardens to a passing hurricane, threatening the status of this unique refugium.

Indexed as

AnthozoaRefugiumAnimalsBelizeCoral ReefsGardens

Identifiers

PMID36753468
PMCPMC9907857
OpenAlexW4319460185

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.