Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36750951›Full record

ArticleJournal of translational medicine2023

A novel model for predicting prolonged stay of patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus: a 13-year (2010-2022) multicenter retrospective case-control study.

Juntao Tan, Zhengyu Zhang, Yuxin He, Yue Yu, Jing Zheng, Yunyu Liu, Jun Gong, Jianjun Li, Xin Wu, Shengying Zhang and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of translational medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Juntao Tan *Operation Management Office, Affiliated Banan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401320, China.
Zhengyu Zhang *Medical Records Department, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China.
Yuxin HeDepartment of Medical Administration, Affiliated Banan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401320, China.
Yue YuSenior Bioinformatician Department of Quantitative Health Sciences Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Jing ZhengOperation Management Office, Affiliated Banan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401320, China.
Yunyu LiuMedical Records Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400010, China.
Jun GongDepartment of Information Center, The University Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401331, China.
Jianjun LiDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Affiliated Banan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 401320, China.
Xin WuDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The Third People's Hospital of Chongqing, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China.
Shengying ZhangDepartment of Respiratory, Yinzhou Second Hospital, Ningbo, 315153, Zhejiang, China.
Xiantian LinState Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Centre for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qing Chun Road, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China.
Yuxi ZhaoState Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Centre for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qing Chun Road, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China.
Xiaoxin WuState Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Centre for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qing Chun Road, Hangzhou, 310003, Zhejiang, China. xiaoxinwu@zju.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0001-9785-8916
Songjia TangPlastic and Aesthetic Surgery Department, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China. tangsj@zju.edu.cn.
Jingjing ChenDepartment of Digital Urban Governance, Zhejiang University City College, Hangzhou, 310015, Zhejiang, China. joyjchan@gmail.com.
Wenlong ZhaoCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China. cqzhaowl@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLength of stay (LOS) is an important metric for evaluating the management of inpatients. This study aimed to explore the factors impacting the LOS of inpatients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and develop a predictive model for the early identification of inpatients with prolonged LOS.

methodsA 13-year multicenter retrospective study was conducted on 83,776 patients with T2DM to develop and validate a clinical predictive tool for prolonged LOS. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model and multivariable logistic regression analysis were adopted to build the risk model for prolonged LOS, and a nomogram was taken to visualize the model. Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis and clinical impact curves were used to respectively validate the discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability of the model.

resultsThe result showed that age, cerebral infarction, antihypertensive drug use, antiplatelet and anticoagulant use, past surgical history, past medical history, smoking, drinking, and neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio were closely related to the prolonged LOS. Area under the curve values of the nomogram in the training, internal validation, external validation set 1, and external validation set 2 were 0.803 (95% CI [confidence interval] 0.799-0.808), 0.794 (95% CI 0.788-0.800), 0.754 (95% CI 0.739-0.770), and 0.743 (95% CI 0.722-0.763), respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the nomogram had a strong calibration. Besides, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curves exhibited that the nomogram had favorable clinical practical value. Besides, an online interface ( https://cytjt007.shinyapps.io/prolonged_los/ ) was developed to provide convenient access for users.

conclusionIn sum, the proposed model could predict the possible prolonged LOS of inpatients with T2DM and help the clinicians to improve efficiency in bed management.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2AlbuminsCase-Control StudiesHumansRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsAlbuminsNomogramOnline servicePrediction modelProlonged stayType-2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID36750951
PMCPMC9903472

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.