Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36750921›Full record

Observational studyBMC infectious diseases2023

A comparison of four epidemic waves of COVID-19 in Malawi; an observational cohort study.

Catherine Anscombe, Samantha Lissauer, Herbert Thole, Jamie Rylance, Dingase Dula, Mavis Menyere, Belson Kutambe, Charlotte van der Veer, Tamara Phiri, Ndaziona P Banda and 15 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Distribution ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  5. Rethinking the evidence on COVID-19 in Africa.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Surprising Gendered Age Differences in Rural Malawians' Early COVID-19 Pandemic Prevention Efforts.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Catherine Anscombe *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Samantha Lissauer *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi. Samantha.Lissauer@liverpool.ac.uk.
Herbert Thole *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Jamie RylanceMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Dingase DulaMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Mavis MenyereMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Belson KutambeMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Charlotte van der VeerMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Tamara PhiriDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.
Ndaziona P BandaKamuzu University of Health Sciences (Formerly University of Malawi-College of Medicine), Blantyre, Malawi.
Kwazizira S MndoloDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.
Kelvin MpondaDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.
Chimota PhiriDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.
Jane MallewaKamuzu University of Health Sciences (Formerly University of Malawi-College of Medicine), Blantyre, Malawi.
Mulinda NyirendaKamuzu University of Health Sciences (Formerly University of Malawi-College of Medicine), Blantyre, Malawi.
Grace KathaDepartment of Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.
Henry MwandumbaMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Stephen B GordonMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Kondwani C JamboMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Jennifer CornickMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Nicholas FeaseyMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Kayla G Barnes *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Ben Morton *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.
Philip M Ashton *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Clinical Research Programme, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi. philip.ashton@liverpool.ac.uk.
Blantyre COVID-19 Consortium
University of Liverpool · GBMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme · MWQueen Elizabeth Central Hospital · MWKamuzu University of Health SciencesAintree University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Malawi · MWHarvard University · USLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_19026Medical Research Council MR/T008822/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCompared to the abundance of clinical and genomic information available on patients hospitalised with COVID-19 disease from high-income countries, there is a paucity of data from low-income countries. Our aim was to explore the relationship between viral lineage and patient outcome.

methodsWe enrolled a prospective observational cohort of adult patients hospitalised with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 disease between July 2020 and March 2022 from Blantyre, Malawi, covering four waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections. Clinical and diagnostic data were collected using an adapted ISARIC clinical characterization protocol for COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 isolates were sequenced using the MinION™ in Blantyre.

resultsWe enrolled 314 patients, good quality sequencing data was available for 55 patients. The sequencing data showed that 8 of 11 participants recruited in wave one had B.1 infections, 6/6 in wave two had Beta, 25/26 in wave three had Delta and 11/12 in wave four had Omicron. Patients infected during the Delta and Omicron waves reported fewer underlying chronic conditions and a shorter time to presentation. Significantly fewer patients required oxygen (22.7% [17/75] vs. 58.6% [140/239], p < 0.001) and steroids (38.7% [29/75] vs. 70.3% [167/239], p < 0.001) in the Omicron wave compared with the other waves. Multivariable logistic-regression demonstrated a trend toward increased mortality in the Delta wave (OR 4.99 [95% CI 1.0-25.0 p = 0.05) compared to the first wave of infection.

conclusionsOur data show that each wave of patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 was infected with a distinct viral variant. The clinical data suggests that patients with severe COVID-19 disease were more likely to die during the Delta wave.

Indexed as

COVID-19AdultCohort StudiesData AccuracyHumansMalawiSARS-CoV-2AfricaCOVIDDeltaISARICLMICMalawiMortalitySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID36750921
PMCPMC9902830
OpenAlexW4319445088

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.