Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36750617›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2023

Development and validation of an integrative pan-solid tumor predictor of PD-1/PD-L1 blockade benefit.

Scott A Tomlins, Nickolay A Khazanov, Benjamin J Bulen, Daniel H Hovelson, Melissa J Shreve, Laura E Lamb, Marc R Matrana, Mark E Burkard, Eddy Shih-Hsin Yang, William Jeffery Edenfield and 32 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03061305 (An Observational Trial Assessing the Clinical Benefit of Molecular Profiling in Patients With Solid Tumors), which is not on this map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
6.9field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03061305 terminatednot on this map

An Observational Trial Assessing the Clinical Benefit of Molecular Profiling in Patients With Solid Tumors

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorStrata OncologyRan2016 to 2024Enrolled58,213ConditionsCancer, Adult Solid Tumor, Lymphoma, Multiple Myeloma
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

42 authors at 20 institutions in 2 countries.

Scott A TomlinsStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. scott.tomlins@strataoncology.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8661-9821
Nickolay A KhazanovStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Benjamin J BulenStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Daniel H HovelsonStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Melissa J ShreveStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5983-4216
Laura E LambStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Marc R MatranaOchsner Cancer Institute, New Orleans, LA, USA.
Mark E BurkardUniversity of Wisconsin Carbone Cancer Center, Madison, WI, USA.
Eddy Shih-Hsin YangO'Neal Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Alabama at Birmingham School of Medicine, Birmingham, AL, USA.
William Jeffery EdenfieldPrisma Health Greenville Memorial Hospital, Greenville, SC, USA.
E Claire DeesUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Adedayo A OnitiloCancer Care and Research Center, Marshfield Clinic Research Institute, Marshfield, WI, USA.
Michael ThompsonAurora Cancer Care, Advocate Aurora Health, Milwaukee, WI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7930-4610
Gary L BuchschacherKaiser Permanente Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Alan M MillerSCL Health-CO, Broomfield, CO, USA.
Alexander MenterKaiser Permanente Colorado, Lone Tree, CO, USA.
Benjamin ParsonsGundersen Health System, La Crosse, WI, USA.
Timothy WassenaarUW Health Cancer Center at ProHealth Care, Waukesha, WI, USA.
Leon C HwangKaiser Permanente of the Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville, MD, USA.
J Marie SugaKaiser Permanente Northern California, Vallejo, CA, USA.
Robert SiegelBon Secours St. Francis Cancer Center, Greenville, SC, USA.
William IrvinBon Secours Cancer Institute, Midlothian, VA, USA.
Suresh NairLehigh Valley Topper Cancer Institute, Allentown, PA, USA.
Jennifer N SlimMultiCare Regional Cancer Center, Tacoma, WA, USA.
Jamal MislehThe US Oncology Network, Newark, DE, USA.
Jamil KhatriChristianaCare Oncology Hematology, Newark, DE, USA.
Gregory MastersMedical Oncology Hematology Consultants, Helen F Graham Cancer Center and Research Institute,, Newark, DE, USA.
Sachdev ThomasKaiser Permanente - Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA.
Malek SafaKettering Health, Kettering, OH, USA.
Daniel M AndersonMetro-Minnesota Community Oncology Research Consortium, St. Louis Park, MN, USA.
Kat KwiatkowskiStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Khalis MitchellStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8742-4727
Tina Hu-SeligerStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Stephanie DreweryStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Andrew FischerStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Komal PlouffeStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Eric CzuprenskiStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Jennifer HippStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Travis ReederStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Hana VakilStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
D Bryan JohnsonStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Daniel R RhodesStrata Oncology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. daniel.rhodes@strataoncology.com.
Kaiser Permanente · USStratasys (Israel) · ILAurora Health Care · USGundersen Health System · USKaiser Permanente Lone Tree Medical Offices · USKaiser Permanente Vallejo Medical Center · USKettering University · USLehigh Valley Hospital-Pocono · USMarshfield Clinic · USMedical Oncology Hematology Consultants · USMetro-Minnesota Community Oncology Research Consortium · USMultiCare Health System · USOchsner Medical Center · USOSF Saint Francis Medical Center · USPrisma Health · USProHealth Care · USThe US Oncology Network · USTranslational Genomics Research Institute · USUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer CenterUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · US

Funding

Viral VectorP30CA086862 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI Jon C.D. Houtman · 2000 to 2026
$70.0M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA086862
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnti-PD-1 and PD-L1 (collectively PD-[L]1) therapies are approved for many advanced solid tumors. Biomarkers beyond PD-L1 immunohistochemistry, microsatellite instability, and tumor mutation burden (TMB) may improve benefit prediction.

methodsUsing treatment data and genomic and transcriptomic tumor tissue profiling from an observational trial (NCT03061305), we developed Immunotherapy Response Score (IRS), a pan-tumor predictive model of PD-(L)1 benefit. IRS real-world progression free survival (rwPFS) and overall survival (OS) prediction was validated in an independent cohort of trial patients.

resultsHere, by Cox modeling, we develop IRS-which combines TMB with CD274, PDCD1, ADAM12 and TOP2A quantitative expression-to predict pembrolizumab rwPFS (648 patients; 26 tumor types; IRS-High or -Low groups). In the 248 patient validation cohort (248 patients; 24 tumor types; non-pembrolizumab PD-[L]1 monotherapy treatment), median rwPFS and OS are significantly longer in IRS-High vs. IRS-Low patients (rwPFS adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.52, p = 0.003; OS aHR 0.49, p = 0.005); TMB alone does not significantly predict PD-(L)1 rwPFS nor OS. In 146 patients treated with systemic therapy prior to pembrolizumab monotherapy, pembrolizumab rwPFS is only significantly longer than immediately preceding therapy rwPFS in IRS-High patients (interaction test p = 0.001). In propensity matched lung cancer patients treated with first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy or pembrolizumab+chemotherapy, monotherapy rwPFS is significantly shorter in IRS-Low patients, but is not significantly different in IRS-High patients. Across 24,463 molecularly-evaluable trial patients, 7.6% of patients outside of monotherapy PD-(L)1 approved tumor types are IRS-High/TMB-Low.

conclusionsThe validated, predictive, pan-tumor IRS model can expand PD-(L)1 monotherapy benefit outside currently approved indications.

Identifiers

PMID36750617
PMCPMC9905474
OpenAlexW4319437600

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.