Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36745810›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Improving the relevance of paleontology to climate change policy.

Wolfgang Kiessling, Jansen A Smith, Nussaïbah B Raja

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Detecting environmentally dependent developmental plasticity in fossilized individuals.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  5. European mammal turnover driven by a global rapid warming event preceding the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Improving the relevance of paleontology to climate change policy.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  13. The past as a lens for biodiversity conservation on a dynamically changing planet.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Wolfgang KiesslingGeoZentrum Nordbayern, Friedrich-Alexander Universität, D-91054 Erlangen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1088-2014
Jansen A SmithGeoZentrum Nordbayern, Friedrich-Alexander Universität, D-91054 Erlangen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3771-2039
Nussaïbah B RajaGeoZentrum Nordbayern, Friedrich-Alexander Universität, D-91054 Erlangen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0000-3944

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Paleontology has provided invaluable basic knowledge on the history of life on Earth. The discipline can also provide substantial knowledge to societal challenges such as climate change. The long-term perspective of climate change impacts on natural systems is both a unique selling point and a major obstacle to becoming more pertinent for policy-relevant bodies like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Repeated experiments on the impacts of climate change without anthropogenic disturbance facilitate the extraction of climate triggers in biodiversity changes. At the same time, the long timescales over which paleontological changes are usually assessed are beyond the scope of policymakers. Based on first-hand experience with the IPCC and a quantitative analysis of its cited literature, we argue that the differences in temporal scope are less of an issue than inappropriate framing and reporting of most paleontological publications. Accepting that some obstacles will remain, paleontology can quickly improve its relevance by targeting climate change impacts more directly and focusing on effect sizes and relevance for projections, particularly on higher-end climate change scenarios.

Indexed as

biodiversityclimate changeIPCCpaleobiology

Identifiers

PMID36745810
PMCPMC9963848

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.