Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36744612›Full record

ArticlePaediatric and perinatal epidemiology2023

Trends in survival of children with severe congenital heart defects by gestational age at birth: A population-based study using administrative hospital data for England.

Laura Gimeno, Katherine Brown, Katie Harron, Maria Peppa, Ruth Gilbert, Ruth Blackburn

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Laura GimenoUCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5456-1936
Katherine BrownGreat Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Katie HarronUCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3418-2856
Maria PeppaUCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4181-0638
Ruth GilbertUCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9347-2709
Ruth BlackburnUCL Institute for Health Informatics, London, UK.
Great Ormond Street Hospital · GBGreat Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Foundation Trust · GBHealth Data Research UK · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S003797/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChildren with congenital heart defects (CHD) are twice as likely as their peers to be born preterm (<37 weeks' gestation), yet descriptions of recent trends in long-term survival by gestational age at birth (GA) are lacking.

objectivesTo quantify changes in survival to age 5 years of children in England with severe CHD by GA.

methodsWe estimated changes in survival to age five of children with severe CHD and all other children born in England between April 2004 and March 2016, overall and by GA-group using linked hospital and mortality records.

resultsOf 5,953,598 livebirths, 5.7% (339,080 of 5,953,598) were born preterm, 0.35% (20,648 of 5,953,598) died before age five and 3.6 per 1000 (21,291 of 5,953,598) had severe CHD. Adjusting for GA, under-five mortality rates fell at a similar rate between 2004-2008 and 2012-2016 for children with severe CHD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.79, 95% CI 0.71, 0.88) and all other children (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.76, 0.81). For children with severe CHD, overall survival to age five increased from 87.5% (95% CI 86.6, 88.4) in 2004-2008 to 89.6% (95% CI 88.9, 90.3) in 2012-2016. There was strong evidence for better survival in the ≥39-week group (90.2%, 95% CI 89.1, 91.2 to 93%, 95% CI 92.4, 93.9), weaker evidence at 24-31 and 37-38 weeks and no evidence at 32-36 weeks. We estimate that 51 deaths (95% CI 24, 77) per year in children with severe CHD were averted in 2012-2016 compared to what would have been the case had 2004-2008 mortality rates persisted.

conclusionsNine out of 10 children with severe CHD in 2012-2016 survived to age five. The small improvement in survival over the study period was driven by increased survival in term children. Most children with severe CHD are reaching school age and may require additional support by schools and healthcare services.

Indexed as

Heart Defects, CongenitalChildChild, PreschoolEnglandFemaleGestational AgeHumansInfant, NewbornProportional Hazards ModelsRegistriesadministrative datacongenital heart defectsEnglandgestational agesurvival analysistrends

Identifiers

PMID36744612
PMCPMC10946523
OpenAlexW4319293659

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.