Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36742350›Full record

ArticleInformatics in medicine unlocked2023

Machine learning models for predicting severe COVID-19 outcomes in hospitals.

Philipp Wendland, Vanessa Schmitt, Jörg Zimmermann, Lukas Häger, Siri Göpel, Christof Schenkel-Häger, Maik Kschischo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Informatics in medicine unlocked, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Philipp WendlandUniversity of Applied Sciences Koblenz, Department of Mathematics and Technology, Remagen, DE, Germany.
Vanessa SchmittUniversity of Applied Sciences Koblenz, Department of Mathematics and Technology, Remagen, DE, Germany.
Jörg ZimmermannUniversity of Applied Sciences Koblenz, Department of Mathematics and Technology, Remagen, DE, Germany.
Lukas HägerUniversity Clinic Tübingen, Department of Internal Medicine 1, Tübingen, DE, Germany.
Siri GöpelUniversity Clinic Tübingen, Department of Internal Medicine 1, Tübingen, DE, Germany.
Christof Schenkel-HägerUniversity of Applied Sciences Koblenz, Department of Economics and Social Care, Remagen, DE, Germany.
Maik KschischoUniversity of Applied Sciences Koblenz, Department of Mathematics and Technology, Remagen, DE, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this observational retrospective study is to improve early risk stratification of hospitalized Covid-19 patients by predicting in-hospital mortality, transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) and mechanical ventilation from electronic health record data of the first 24 h after admission. Our machine learning model predicts in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.918), transfer to ICU (AUC = 0.821) and the need for mechanical ventilation (AUC = 0.654) from a few laboratory data of the first 24 h after admission. Models based on dichotomous features indicating whether a laboratory value exceeds or falls below a threshold perform nearly as good as models based on numerical features. We devise completely data-driven and interpretable machine-learning models for the prediction of in-hospital mortality, transfer to ICU and mechanical ventilation for hospitalized Covid-19 patients within 24 h after admission. Numerical values of. CRP and blood sugar and dichotomous indicators for increased partial thromboplastin time (PTT) and glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (GOT) are amongst the best predictors.

Indexed as

Clinical decision supportCovid-19Machine learningPredictive modelling

Identifiers

PMID36742350
PMCPMC9890886

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.