Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36737743›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2023

Evidence for exposure dependent carriage of malaria parasites across the dry season: modelling analysis of longitudinal data.

Eva Stadler, Deborah Cromer, Samson Ogunlade, Aissata Ongoiba, Safiatou Doumbo, Kassoum Kayentao, Boubacar Traore, Peter D Crompton, Silvia Portugal, Miles P Davenport and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Serological evidence of high exposure toMalariaWorld journal · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Antibodies to specific domains ofHealth science reports · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Eva StadlerThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia.
Deborah CromerThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia.
Samson OgunladeThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia.
Aissata OngoibaMalaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, International Center of Excellence in Research, University of Sciences, Technique, and Technology of Bamako, 91094, Bamako, Mali.
Safiatou DoumboMalaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, International Center of Excellence in Research, University of Sciences, Technique, and Technology of Bamako, 91094, Bamako, Mali.
Kassoum KayentaoMalaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, International Center of Excellence in Research, University of Sciences, Technique, and Technology of Bamako, 91094, Bamako, Mali.
Boubacar TraoreMalaria Research and Training Centre, Department of Epidemiology of Parasitic Diseases, International Center of Excellence in Research, University of Sciences, Technique, and Technology of Bamako, 91094, Bamako, Mali.
Peter D CromptonMalaria Infection Biology and Immunity Section, Laboratory of Immunogenetics, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, USA.
Silvia PortugalMalaria Infection Biology and Immunity Section, Laboratory of Immunogenetics, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, USA.
Miles P DavenportThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia.
David S KhouryThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia. dkhoury@kirby.unsw.edu.au.

Funding

Mechanisms of naturally-acquired immunity to malaria and clinical trials of anti-malaria monoclonal antibodiesZIAAI001155 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI CROMPTON, PETER · 2011 to 2025
$30.9M
Australian Research Council DP120100064National Health and Medical Research Council 1082022National Health and Medical Research Council 1141921
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn malaria endemic regions, transmission of Plasmodium falciparum parasites is often seasonal with very low transmission during the dry season and high transmission in the wet season. Parasites survive the dry season within some individuals who experience prolonged carriage of parasites and are thought to 'seed' infection in the next transmission season.

methodsDry season carriers and their role in the subsequent transmission season are characterized using a combination of mathematical simulations and data analysis of previously described data from a longitudinal study in Mali of individuals aged 3 months-12 years (n = 579).

resultsSimulating the life-history of individuals experiencing repeated exposure to infection predicts that dry season carriage is more likely in the oldest, most exposed and most immune individuals. This hypothesis is supported by the data from Mali, which shows that carriers are significantly older, experience a higher biting rate at the beginning of the transmission season and develop clinical malaria later than non-carriers. Further, since the most exposed individuals in a community are most likely to be dry season carriers, this is predicted to enable a more than twofold faster spread of parasites into the mosquito population at the start of the subsequent wet season.

conclusionsCarriage of malaria parasites over the months-long dry season in Mali is most likely in the older, more exposed and more immune children. These children may act as super-spreaders facilitating the fast spread of parasites at the beginning of the next transmission season.

Indexed as

MalariaMalaria, FalciparumParasitesAnimalsChildHumansLongitudinal StudiesPlasmodium falciparumSeasonsMaliParasite carriagePlasmodium falciparumSeasonal transmissionWithin-host model

Identifiers

PMID36737743
PMCPMC9898990

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.