Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36735105›Full record

ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2023

Modeling Syphilis and HIV Coinfection: A Case Study in the USA.

Cheng-Long Wang, Shasha Gao, Xue-Zhi Li, Maia Martcheva

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Cheng-Long WangSchool of Mathematics and Information Science, Henan Normal University, Xinxiang, 453007, China.
Shasha GaoSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, 330000, China. 401763380@qq.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5450-4675
Xue-Zhi LiSchool of Mathematics and Information Science, Henan Normal University, Xinxiang, 453007, China. xzli66@126.com.
Maia MartchevaDepartment of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville, 32611, USA.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 11771017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Syphilis and HIV infections form a dangerous combination. In this paper, we propose an epidemic model of HIV-syphilis coinfection. The model always has a unique disease-free equilibrium, which is stable when both reproduction numbers of syphilis and HIV are less than 1. If the reproduction number of syphilis (HIV) is greater than 1, there exists a unique boundary equilibrium of syphilis (HIV), which is locally stable if the invasion number of HIV (syphilis) is less than 1. Coexistence equilibrium exists and is stable when all reproduction numbers and invasion numbers are greater than 1. Using data of syphilis cases and HIV cases from the US, we estimated that both reproduction numbers for syphilis and HIV are slightly greater than 1, and the boundary equilibrium of syphilis is stable. In addition, we observed competition between the two diseases. Treatment for primary syphilis is more important in mitigating the transmission of syphilis. However, it might lead to increase of HIV cases. The results derived here could be adapted to other multi-disease scenarios in other regions.

Indexed as

CoinfectionHIV InfectionsSyphilisHumansMathematical ConceptsModels, BiologicalCoinfectionEpidemic modelHIV transmissionInvasion numbersReproduction numbersSyphilis infection

Identifiers

PMID36735105
PMCPMC9897625

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.