Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36730318›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

COVID-19 pandemic and trends in new diagnosis of atrial fibrillation: A nationwide analysis of claims data.

Inmaculada Hernandez, Meiqi He, Jingchuan Guo, Mina Tadrous, Nico Gabriel, Gretchen Swabe, Walid F Gellad, Utibe R Essien, Samir Saba, Emelia J Benjamin and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Atrial fibrillation and flutter in the Eastern Mediterranean: burden, disparities, and risk factor contributions from 1990 to 2021.The Egyptian heart journal : (EHJ) : official bulletin of the Egyptian Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. COVID-19 Diagnosis, Oral Anticoagulation, and Stroke Risk in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.American journal of cardiovascular drugs : drugs, devices, and other interventions · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Inmaculada HernandezDivision of Clinical Pharmacy, University of California, San Diego, Skaggs School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, La Jolla, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0118-4986
Meiqi HeDivision of Clinical Pharmacy, University of California, San Diego, Skaggs School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, La Jolla, California, United States of America.
Jingchuan GuoDepartment of Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America.
Mina TadrousLeslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Nico GabrielDivision of Clinical Pharmacy, University of California, San Diego, Skaggs School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, La Jolla, California, United States of America.
Gretchen SwabeDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Walid F GelladDivision of General Internal Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA and Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion, VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Utibe R EssienDivision of General Internal Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA and Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion, VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Samir SabaDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Emelia J BenjaminDepartment of Medicine, Boston Medical Center and Boston University Department of Medicine, Chobanian and Avedisian School of Medicine, and Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-4076-2336
Jared W MagnaniDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
University of Pittsburgh · USUniversity of California San Diego · USBoston University · USUniversity of Florida · USUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

IDENTIFICATION OF COMMON GENETIC VARIANTS FOR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND PR INTERVALR01HL092577 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$20.6M
Diversity Supplement for geocoding in the parent grant "A Mobile Relational Agent to Enhance Atrial Fibrillation self-care"R33HL144669 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MAGNANI, JARED W. · 2020 to 2023
$3.8M
Mobile Health intervention for rural atrial fibrillationR01HL143010 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MAGNANI, JARED W. · 2019 to 2022
$3.0M
Pandemic Disruptions of Atrial Fibrillation CareR01HL157051 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI PATEL, NIMISH · 2021 to 2024
$2.0M
Patient and System-Level Determinants of Oral Anticoagulation Use in Atrial FibrillationK01HL142847 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI HERNANDEZ, INMACULADA · 2018 to 2022
$798k
Patient-oriented research mentoring in access and adherence to anticoagulation for atrial fibrillationK24HL160527 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Jared W. Magnani · 2022 to 2026
$602k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL142847NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL160527NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL092577NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL143010NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL157051NHLBI NIH HHS R33 HL144669
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a five-fold increased risk of stroke and a two-fold increased risk of death. We aimed to quantify changes in new diagnoses of AF following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Investigating changes in new diagnoses of AF is of relevance because delayed diagnosis interferes with timely treatment to prevent stroke, heart failure, and death.

methodsUsing De-identified Optum's Clinformatics® Data Mart, we identified 19,500,401 beneficiaries continuously enrolled for 12 months in 2016-Q3 2020 with no history of AF. The primary outcome was new AF diagnoses per 30-day interval. Secondary outcomes included AF diagnosis in the inpatient setting, AF diagnosis in the outpatient setting, and ischemic stroke as initial manifestation of AF. We constructed seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average models to quantify changes in new AF diagnoses after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic (3/11/2020, date of pandemic declaration). We tested whether changes in the new AF diagnoses differed by race and ethnicity.

resultsThe average age of study participants was 51.0±18.5 years, and 52% of the sample was female. During the study period, 2.7% of the study sample had newly-diagnosed AF. New AF diagnoses decreased by 35% (95% CI, 21%-48%) after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, from 1.14 per 1000 individuals (95% CI, 1.05-1.24) to 0.74 per 1000 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.83, p-value<0.001). New AF diagnoses decreased by 37% (95% CI, 13%- 55%) in the outpatient setting and by 29% (95% CI, 14%-43%) in the inpatient setting. The decrease in new AF diagnoses was similar across racial and ethnic subgroups.

conclusionIn a nationwide cohort of 19.5 million individuals, new diagnoses of AF decreased substantially following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings evidence pandemic disruptions in access to care for AF, which are concerning because delayed diagnosis interferes with timely treatment to prevent complications.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationCOVID-19StrokeAdultAgedCOVID-19 TestingFemaleHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedPandemicsRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID36730318
PMCPMC9894497
OpenAlexW4318930385

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.