Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36725330›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2024

Macroeconomic impact of tobacco taxation in Indonesia.

Adrianna Bella, Arya Swarnata, Violeta Vulovic, Dhanie Nugroho, Yurdhina Meilissa, Usman Usman, Teguh Dartanto

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Assessing the Sensitivities of Input-Output Methods for Natural Hazard-Induced Power Outage Macroeconomic Impacts.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Adrianna BellaCenter for Indonesia's Strategic Development Initiatives, Jakarta, Indonesia.ORCID 0000-0002-2731-2704
Arya SwarnataCenter for Indonesia's Strategic Development Initiatives, Jakarta, Indonesia aryaswarnata@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-5251-3831
Violeta VulovicInstitute for Health Research and Policy, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5010-4703
Dhanie NugrohoCenter for Indonesia's Strategic Development Initiatives, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Yurdhina MeilissaCenter for Indonesia's Strategic Development Initiatives, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Usman UsmanUniversity of Indonesia Institute for Economic and Social Research, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Teguh DartantoDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, Indonesia.ORCID 0000-0002-1737-3650

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA significant tobacco tax increase has long been advocated to reduce Indonesia's high smoking prevalence. However, implementing such a policy remains challenging due to the tobacco industry's argument that it would negatively impact the economy.

objectiveThis study aims to provide a comprehensive estimate of the net impact of tobacco taxation on Indonesia's economy.

methodThe impact of the tax hike on the economy is simulated through a change in cigarette demand and reallocation of household's budget and allocation government spending from additional tobacco tax revenue. Input-output analysis is employed to estimate the net effect of the tobacco tax rise on the total economic output, income and employment in Indonesia. FINDING: Increasing the tobacco tax would generate a net positive impact on the economy as it would increase economic output, household income and employment. The positive impact is mainly driven by government spending from additional revenue from increased tobacco taxes. Spending tax revenue using the current structure of government spending has the potential to generate the optimal economic effect. Increasing tobacco tax by 45% from the 2019 tax level would increase economic output, household income and employment by Rp84.2 trillion, Rp24.1 trillion and 400.3 thousand jobs, respectively.

Indexed as

EmploymentTaxesTobacco IndustryTobacco ProductsHumansIncomeIndonesiaSmokingEconomicsLow/Middle income countryTaxation

Identifiers

PMID36725330
PMCPMC11187376

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.