Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36720803›Full record

ArticleMolecular diagnosis & therapy2023

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Biomarkers for Risk Prediction in Atrial Fibrillation.

Gisèle Nakhlé, Jean-Claude Tardif, Denis Roy, Léna Rivard, Michelle Samuel, Anick Dubois, Jacques LeLorier

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular diagnosis & therapy, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 37% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. De-risking Atrial Fibrillation: Refining Anticoagulation Decision-Making.American journal of cardiovascular drugs : drugs, devices, and other interventions · 2026
    Review
  2. Brazilian Atrial Fibrillation Guidelines - 2025.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2025
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Gisèle NakhléCHUM Research Center, Pavilion S, 850, St-Denis St., S03.300, Montreal, QC, H2X 0A9, Canada. gisele.nakhle@umontreal.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0182-578X
Jean-Claude TardifUniversity of Montreal, 2900 Edouard Montpetit Blvd, Montreal, QC, H3T 1J4, Canada.
Denis RoyUniversity of Montreal, 2900 Edouard Montpetit Blvd, Montreal, QC, H3T 1J4, Canada.
Léna RivardUniversity of Montreal, 2900 Edouard Montpetit Blvd, Montreal, QC, H3T 1J4, Canada.
Michelle SamuelUniversity of Montreal, 2900 Edouard Montpetit Blvd, Montreal, QC, H3T 1J4, Canada.
Anick DuboisMontreal Heart Institute, 5000 Belanger St., Montreal, QC, H1T 1C8, Canada.
Jacques LeLorierCHUM Research Center, Pavilion S, 850, St-Denis St., S03.300, Montreal, QC, H2X 0A9, Canada.
Montreal Heart Institute · CACegep Edouard Montpetit · CAUniversité de Montréal · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

rationaleAtrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism. This risk is currently assessed with scoring systems based on clinical characteristics. However, these tools have limited prognostic performance. Circulating biomarkers are proposed for improved prediction of major clinical events and individualization of treatments in patients with AF.

objectiveThe aim was to assess the cost-effectiveness of precision medicine (PM), i.e., the use of combined biomarkers and clinical variables, in comparison to standard of care (SOC) for risk stratification in a hypothetical cohort of AF patients at risk of stroke.

methodsA Markov cohort model was developed to evaluate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of PM compared to SOC, over 20 years using a Canadian healthcare system perspective.

resultsPM decreased the mean per-patient overall costs by 7% ($94,932 vs $102,057 [Canadian dollars], respectively) and increased the QALYs by 12% (8.77 vs 7.68 QALYs, respectively). The calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was negative, indicating that PM is an economically dominant strategy. These results were robust to one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

conclusionPM compared to SOC is economically dominant and is projected to generate cost savings.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAnticoagulantsBiomarkersCanadaCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisHumansMarkov ChainsQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAnticoagulantsBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID36720803
PMCPMC9888735
OpenAlexW4318691496

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.