XGBoost-based multiparameters from dual-energy computed tomography for the differentiation of multiple myeloma of the spine from vertebral osteolytic metastases.

objectivesTo evaluate the performance of extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) combined with multiparameters from dual-energy computed tomography (mpDECT) to differentiate between multiple myeloma (MM) of the spine and vertebral osteolytic metastases (VOM).

methodsFor this retrospective study, 28 patients (83 lesions) with MM of the spine and 23 patients (54 lesions) with VOM who underwent DECT were included. The mpDECT for each lesion, including normalized effective atomic number, slope of the spectral Hounsfield unit curve, CT attenuation, and virtual noncalcium (VNCa), was obtained. Boruta was used to select the key parameters, and then subsequently merged with XGBoost to yield a prediction model. The lesions were divided into the training and testing group in a 3:1 ratio. The highest performance of the univariate analysis was compared with XGBoost using the Delong test.

resultsThe mpDECT of MM was significantly lower than that of VOM (all p < 0.05). In univariate analysis, VNCa had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the training group (0.81) and testing group (0.87). Based on Boruta, 6 parameters of DECT were selected for XGBoost model construction. The XGBoost model achieved an excellent and stable diagnostic performance, as shown in the training group (AUC of 1.0) and testing group (AUC of 0.97), with a sensitivity of 80%, a specificity of 95%, and an accuracy of 88%, which was superior to VNCa (p < 0.05).

conclusionsXGBoost combined with mpDECT yielded promising performance in differentiating between MM of the spine and VOM. KEY POINTS: • The multiparameters obtained from dual-energy CT of multiple myeloma differed significantly from those of vertebral osteolytic metastases. • The virtual noncalcium offered the highest AUC in the univariate analysis to distinguish multiple myeloma from vertebral osteolytic metastases. • Extreme gradient boosting combined with multiparameters from dual-energy CT had a promising performance to distinguish multiple myeloma from vertebral osteolytic metastases.