ArticleJournal of behavioral and experimental economics2023
Expectations, reference points, and compliance with COVID-19 social distancing measures.
Article in Journal of behavioral and experimental economics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 64 citations in OpenAlex.
- Communication to promote and support physical distancing for COVID-19 prevention and control: a rapid reviewThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023Pooled it
- For Better or Worse? Subjective Expectations and Cost-Benefit Trade-Offs in Health Behavior: An Application to Lockdown Compliance in the United Kingdom.Health economics · 2025Article
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- Does expert information affect citizens' attitudes toward Corona policies? Evidence from Germany.European journal of political economy · 2023Article
- Proactive Contact Tracing.PLOS digital health · 2023Article
- Indonesian Ulema Council Fatwa on Religious Activities During the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Investigation of Muslim Attitudes and Practices.Journal of religion and health · 2023Article
- Article
- Article
- Factor structure and psychometric proprieties of the COVID-19 prevention behaviours (COV19-PB) scale.Current psychology (New Brunswick, N.J.) · 2022Article
- Do governmental policy interventions help urban economic recovery? Experimental evidence from China's provinces governance amid the COVID-19 pandemic.Growth and change · 2022Article
- Self-imposed social isolation among clients of social care organisations in the COVID-19 pandemic.International journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2022Article
- Exploring COVID-19-Related Stressors: Topic Modeling Study.Journal of medical Internet research · 2022Article
- How does the impact of the COVID-19 state of emergency change? An analysis of preventive behaviors and mental health using panel data in Japan.Journal of the Japanese and international economies · 2022Article
- Consensus, convergence, and COVID-19: The ethical role of religious reasons in leaders' response to COVID-19.Leadership (London) · 2022Article
- Impact of vaccine hesitancy on secondary COVID-19 outbreaks in the US: an age-structured SIR model.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- One year of COVID-19 in Italy: are containment policies enough to shape the pandemic pattern?Socio-economic planning sciences · 2022Article
- COVID-19 and Federalism in India: Capturing the Effects of State and Central Responses on Mobility.The European journal of development research · 2022Article
- The Relationship Between Medical Diagnoses, Risk Perceptions, and Social Distancing Compliance: An Analysis of Data from the Toledo Adolescent Relationships Study.Ohio journal of public health · 2022Article
- Fatalism, beliefs, and behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic.Journal of risk and uncertainty · 2022Article
- Adherence to and enforcement of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for COVID-19 prevention in Nigeria, Rwanda, and Zambia: A mixed-methods analysis.PLOS global public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We study the behavioral impact of announcements about the duration of a policy and their relationship with people's expectations in the context of the COVID-19 lockdowns. We surveyed representative samples of Italian residents at three moments of the first wave of the pandemic to test how intentions to comply with social-isolation measures depend on the duration of their possible extension. Individuals were more likely to reduce, and less likely to increase, their compliance effort if the hypothetical extension was longer than they expected, whereas positive surprises had a lesser impact. The behavioral response to the (mis)match between expected versus hypothesized extensions is consistent with expectations acting as reference points and can help explain the increase in observed physical proximity in Italy following lockdown extension announcements. Our findings suggest that public authorities should consider citizens' expectations when announcing policy changes.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.