Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36713327›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2022

Geochemical ice-core constraints on the timing and climatic impact of Aniakchak II (1628 BCE) and Thera (Minoan) volcanic eruptions.

Charlotte Pearson, Michael Sigl, Andrea Burke, Siwan Davies, Andrei Kurbatov, Mirko Severi, Jihong Cole-Dai, Helen Innes, Paul G Albert, Meredith Helmick

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Charlotte PearsonLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, 1215 E. Lowell Street, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3594-3194
Michael SiglOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Hochschulstrasse 4, 3012, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9028-9703
Andrea BurkeSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of St Andrews, Queen's Terrace, KY16 9TS, Scotland, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3754-1498
Siwan DaviesDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, SA2 8PP, Cymru, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0999-7233
Andrei KurbatovClimate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469-5790, USA.
Mirko SeveriDipartimento di Chimica Ugo Schiff, University of Florence, Via della Lastruccia, 3, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Florence, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1511-6762
Jihong Cole-DaiDepartment of Chemistry and Biochemistry, South Dakota State University, 1451 Stadium Rd, Brookings, SD 57007, USA.
Helen InnesSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of St Andrews, Queen's Terrace, KY16 9TS, Scotland, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4003-3910
Paul G AlbertDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, SA2 8PP, Cymru, UK.
Meredith HelmickClimate Change Institute, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469-5790, USA.
Swansea University · GBUniversity of Maine · USUniversity of St Andrews · GBSouth Dakota State University · USUniversity of Arizona · USUniversity of Bern · CHUniversity of Florence · IT

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S035478/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Decades of research have focused on establishing the exact year and climatic impact of the Minoan eruption of Thera, Greece (c.1680 to 1500 BCE). Ice cores offer key evidence to resolve this controversy, but attempts have been hampered by a lack of multivolcanic event synchronization between records. In this study, Antarctic and Greenland ice-core records are synchronized using a double bipolar sulfate marker, and calendar dates are assigned to each eruption revealed within the 'Thera period'. From this global-scale sequence of volcanic sulfate loading, we derive indications toward each eruption's latitude and potential to disrupt the climate system. Ultrafine sampling for sulfur isotopes and tephra conclusively demonstrate a colossal eruption of Alaska's Aniakchak II as the source of stratospheric sulfate in the now precisely dated 1628 BCE ice layer. These findings end decades of speculation that Thera was responsible for the 1628 BCE event, and place Aniakchak II (52 ± 17 Tg S) and an unknown volcano at 1654 BCE (50 ± 13 Tg S) as two of the largest Northern Hemisphere sulfur injections in the last 4,000 years. This opens possibilities to explore widespread climatic impacts for contemporary societies and, in pinpointing Aniakchak II, confirms that stratospheric sulfate can be globally distributed from eruptions outside the tropics. Dating options for Thera are reduced to a series of precisely dated, constrained stratospheric sulfur injection events at 1611 BCE, 1561/1558/1555BCE, and c.1538 BCE, which are all below 14 ± 5 Tg S, indicating a climatic forcing potential for Thera well below that of Tambora (1815 CE).

Indexed as

ice coressulfatetephratree-ringsvolcanic forcing

Identifiers

PMID36713327
PMCPMC9802406
OpenAlexW4225137773

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.