Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36713102›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal. Digital health2021

Atrial fibrillation risk prediction from the 12-lead electrocardiogram using digital biomarkers and deep representation learning.

Shany Biton, Sheina Gendelman, Antônio H Ribeiro, Gabriela Miana, Carla Moreira, Antonio Luiz P Ribeiro, Joachim A Behar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal. Digital health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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  11. Artificial intelligence: Applications in cardio-oncology and potential impact on racial disparities.American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice · 2024
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  15. Adopting artificial intelligence in cardiovascular medicine: a scoping review.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2024
    Article
  16. Cardiovascular Statistics - Brazil 2023.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
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  20. BMJ medicine · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Shany BitonFaculty of Biomedical Engineering, Technion-IIT, Haifa, Israel.
Sheina GendelmanFaculty of Biomedical Engineering, Technion-IIT, Haifa, Israel.
Antônio H RibeiroDepartment of Information Technology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2740-0042
Gabriela MianaTelehealth Center, Hospital das Clínicas, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Carla MoreiraTelehealth Center, Hospital das Clínicas, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Antonio Luiz P RibeiroTelehealth Center, Hospital das Clínicas, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3632-8529
Joachim A BeharFaculty of Biomedical Engineering, Technion-IIT, Haifa, Israel.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5956-7034

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aims: This study aims to assess whether information derived from the raw 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) combined with clinical information is predictive of atrial fibrillation (AF) development. Methods and results: We use a subset of the Telehealth Network of Minas Gerais (TNMG) database consisting of patients that had repeated 12-lead ECG measurements between 2010 and 2017 that is 1 130 404 recordings from 415 389 unique patients. Median and interquartile of age for the recordings were 58 (46-69) and 38% of the patients were males. Recordings were assigned to train-validation and test sets in an 80:20% split which was stratified by class, age and gender. A random forest classifier was trained to predict, for a given recording, the risk of AF development within 5 years. We use features obtained from different modalities, namely demographics, clinical information, engineered features, and features from deep representation learning. The best model performance on the test set was obtained for the model combining features from all modalities with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) = 0.909 against the best single modality model which had an AUROC = 0.839. Conclusion: Our study has important clinical implications for AF management. It is the first study integrating feature engineering, deep learning, and Electronic medical record system (EMR) metadata to create a risk prediction tool for the management of patients at risk of AF. The best model that includes features from all modalities demonstrates that human knowledge in electrophysiology combined with deep learning outperforms any single modality approach. The high performance obtained suggest that structural changes in the 12-lead ECG are associated with existing or impending AF.

Indexed as

Atrial fibrillationDeep learningRisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID36713102
PMCPMC9707938

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.