ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2023
Spatio-temporal trends of malaria incidence from 2011 to 2017 and environmental predictors of malaria transmission in Myanmar.
Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.
- Prevalence of malaria and its major parasite species in Bangladesh: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Malaria journal · 2026Pooled it
- Spatiotemporal differentiation of Plasmodium vivax populations in the western Greater Mekong Subregion using a 22-SNP barcode.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Unraveling the spatiotemporal clustering of malaria incidence and modeling a decade of epidemiological data in Jimma Zone, Oromia, Ethiopia.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal trends in P. falciparum malaria and identification of high-risk villages in Eastern Myanmar: an 8-year observational study.Scientific reports · 2025Observational
- Drivers of delay in reported malaria care-seeking in Myanmar and Thailand.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Malaria care-seeking among febrile patients in Myanmar and Thailand: an accelerated failure time analysis.Research square · 2025Article
- Risk factor for gametocyte carriage and gametocytemia in Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Efficacy of Focal Primaquine Mass Administration for EliminatingOpen forum infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Analyzing spatial delays of tuberculosis from surveillance and awareness surveys in Eastern China.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Plasmodium vivax populations in the western Greater Mekong Subregion evaluated using a genetic barcode.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- 'Forest malaria' in Myanmar? Tracking transmission landscapes in a diversity of environments.Parasites & vectors · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
13 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundMyanmar bears the heaviest malaria burden in the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS). This study assessed the spatio-temporal dynamics and environmental predictors of Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax malaria in Myanmar.
methodsMonthly reports of malaria cases at primary health centers during 2011-2017 were analyzed to describe malaria distribution across Myanmar at the township and state/region levels by spatial autocorrelation (Moran index) and spatio-temporal clustering. Negative binomial generalized additive models identified environmental predictors for falciparum and vivax malaria, respectively.
resultsFrom 2011 to 2017, there was an apparent reduction in malaria incidence in Myanmar. Malaria incidence peaked in June each year. There were significant spatial autocorrelation and clustering with extreme spatial heterogeneity in malaria cases and test positivity across the nation (P < 0.05). Areas with higher malaria incidence were concentrated along international borders. Primary clusters of P. falciparum persisted in western townships, while clusters of P. vivax shifted geographically over the study period. The primary cluster was detected from January 2011 to December 2013 and covered two states (Sagaing and Kachin). Annual malaria incidence was highest in townships with a mean elevation of 500‒600 m and a high variance in elevation (states with both high and low elevation). There was an apparent linear relationship between the mean normalized difference vegetative index and annual P. falciparum incidence (P < 0.05).
conclusionThe decreasing trends reflect the significant achievement of malaria control efforts in Myanmar. Prioritizing the allocation of resources to high-risk areas identified in this study can achieve effective disease control.
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