ArticleThe Lancet. Planetary health2023
Impact on mortality of pathways to net zero greenhouse gas emissions in England and Wales: a multisectoral modelling study.
Article in The Lancet. Planetary health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.
- The public health co-benefits of strategies consistent with net-zero emissions: a systematic review.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2025Pooled it
- Health co-benefits of sustainable dietary transitions to reduced red and processed meat intake in the United Kingdom: a modelling study.European journal of nutrition · 2026Article
- Reduced meat and dairy consumption improves health, environmental and most nutritional outcomes without increasing diet costs among Scottish adults.Nature food · 2026Article
- What Impact Does Net Zero Action on Road Transport and Building Heating Have on Exposure to UK Air Pollution?Environmental science & technology · 2025Article
- Climate change and public health: An evaluation framework for local government.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2024Article
- The United European Gastroenterology green paper-climate change and gastroenterology.United European gastroenterology journal · 2024Review
- Association between Diet-Related Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Mortality among Japanese Adults: The Japan Collaborative Cohort Study.Environmental health perspectives · 2024Article
- Role of public health professionals in the climate and ecological crisis: a qualitative study.BMJ open · 2024Article
- Sports Utility Vehicles: A Public Health Model of Their Climate and Air Pollution Impacts in the United Kingdom.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- The impacts of low-carbon city pilot policies on natural population growth: empirical evidence from China's prefecture-level cities.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe UK is legally committed to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2050. We aimed to understand the potential impact on population health of two pathways for achieving this target through the integrated effects of six actions in four sectors.
methodsIn this multisectoral modelling study we assessed the impact on population health in England and Wales of six policy actions relating to electricity generation, transport, home energy, active travel, and diets relative to a baseline scenario in which climate actions, exposures, and behaviours were held constant at 2020 levels under two scenarios: the UK Climate Change Committee's Balanced Pathway of technological and behavioural measures; and its Widespread Engagement Pathway, which assumes more substantial changes to consumer behaviours. We quantified the impacts of each policy action on mortality using a life table comprising all exposures, behaviours, and health outcomes in a single model.
findingsBoth scenarios are predicted to result in substantial reductions in mortality by 2050. The Widespread Engagement Pathway achieves a slightly greater reduction in outdoor fine particulate matter air pollution of 3·2 μg/m
interpretationReaching net zero greenhouse gas emissions is likely to lead to substantial benefits for public health in England and Wales, with the cumulative net benefits being correspondingly greater with a pathway that entails faster and more ambitious changes, especially in physical activity and diets.
fundingNational Institute for Health Research and the Wellcome Trust.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.