Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36705623›Full record

SynthesisAnnals of medicine2023

Prognostic factors associated with changes in knee pain outcomes, identified from initial primary care consultation data. A systematic literature review.

Thomas S Collier, Tom Hughes, Rachel Chester, Michael J Callaghan, James Selfe

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Annals of medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 44% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Thomas S CollierPure Physiotherapy Specialist Clinics, Norwich, UK.
Tom HughesDepartment of Health Professions, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
Rachel ChesterSchool of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, UK.
Michael J CallaghanDepartment of Health Professions, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
James SelfeDepartment of Health Professions, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
Norwich Research Park · GBManchester City Football Club · GBManchester Metropolitan University · GBManchester University NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData collected during initial primary care consultations could be a source of baseline prognostic factors associated with changes in outcome measures for patients with knee pain.

objectivesTo identify, appraise and synthesize studies investigating prognostic factors associated with changes in outcome for people presenting with knee pain in primary care.

methodsEMBASE, CINAHL, AMED, MEDLINE and MedRxiv electronic databases were searched from inception to March 2021 and repeated in August 2022. Prospective cohort studies of adult participants with musculoskeletal knee pain assessing the association between putative prognostic factors and outcomes in primary care were included. The Quality in Prognostic Studies (QUIPS) tool and The Modified Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework, specific to prognostic reviews were used to appraise and synthesize the evidence respectively.

resultsEight studies were included. Eight knee pain outcomes were identified. Methodological and statistical heterogeneity resulted in qualitative analysis. All evidence was judged to be of low to very low quality. Bilateral knee pain (multivariable odds ratio (OR) range 2.60-2.74; 95%CI range 0.90-8.10,

conclusionsThere was consensus from two independent studies that bilateral knee pain and lower educational level were associated with persistent knee pain. Many baseline factors were associated with outcome in individual studies but not consistently between studies. The current understanding, accuracy and reliability of the prognostic value of initial primary care consultation data for knee pain outcomes are limited. This review will provide an essential guide for candidate variable selection in future primary care prognostic confirmatory studies.Key messagesBilateral knee pain and lower educational level were associated with persistent knee pain.Many baseline factors were associated with outcome in individual studies but not consistently between studies.The current understanding, accuracy and reliability of the prognostic value of initial primary care consultation data for knee pain outcomes are limited.

Indexed as

PainPrimary Health CareAdultHumansPrognosisProspective StudiesReproducibility of Resultsknee painmusculoskeletalPrimary careprognosisprognostic factorssystematic literature review

Identifiers

PMID36705623
PMCPMC9888457
OpenAlexW4318263200

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.