ReviewNature ecology & evolution2023
A predictive timeline of wildlife population collapse.
Review in Nature ecology & evolution, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Subtle stressors-Strong responses. Consistent negative effects of avian blood parasites on phenotypic and demographic traits across songbirds.The Journal of animal ecology · 2025Pooled it
- Ingested plastics reduce recruitment and survival of an Australian seabird.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Landscape Fragmentation Shapes Zoonotic Malaria Spillover Risk During Deforestation.EcoHealth · 2026Article
- The Presence and Behaviour of Birds at Two Prescribed Fires in Sweden.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species.The Journal of animal ecology · 2026Article
- Body condition among Svalbard Polar bears Ursus maritimus during a period of rapid loss of sea ice.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Androgenic agricultural pollution suppresses immune function and alters reproductive allocation in eastern mosquitofish.Conservation physiology · 2026Article
- Quick on their paws: mice living in human-disturbed areas are faster problem-solvers than mice in strictly protected areas.Animal cognition · 2025Article
- Multivariate signals of population collapse in a high-throughput ecological experiment.Ecology · 2025Article
- Body size, nutritional state and endocrine state are associated with calving probability in a long-lived marine species.The Journal of animal ecology · 2025Article
- Cross-Continental Analysis Shows That Disturbance Effects on Reptile Body Condition Do Not Predict Abundance Responses.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Dominant species predict plant richness and biomass in global grasslands.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Reduced Body Mass in a Highly Insectivorous Mammal, the Garden Dormouse-Ecological Consequences of Insect Decline?Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Pathogen-induced alterations in fine-scale movement behaviour predict impaired reproductive success.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- A Sixth Mass Extinction? How Linguistic Uncertainty Shapes Our Understanding of the Biodiversity Crisis.Ecology and evolution · 2024Review
- Ecological genetics of isolated loach populations indicate compromised adaptive potential.Heredity · 2024Article
- Predictability of ecological and evolutionary dynamics in a changing world.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Article
- Situating defaunation in an operational framework to advance biodiversity conservation.Bioscience · 2023Article
- Phenotypic response to different predator strategies can be mediated by temperature.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Contemporary rates of biodiversity decline emphasize the need for reliable ecological forecasting, but current methods vary in their ability to predict the declines of real-world populations. Acknowledging that stressor effects start at the individual level, and that it is the sum of these individual-level effects that drives populations to collapse, shifts the focus of predictive ecology away from using predominantly abundance data. Doing so opens new opportunities to develop predictive frameworks that utilize increasingly available multi-dimensional data, which have previously been overlooked for ecological forecasting. Here, we propose that stressed populations will exhibit a predictable sequence of observable changes through time: changes in individuals' behaviour will occur as the first sign of increasing stress, followed by changes in fitness-related morphological traits, shifts in the dynamics (for example, birth rates) of populations and finally abundance declines. We discuss how monitoring the sequential appearance of these signals may allow us to discern whether a population is increasingly at risk of collapse, or is adapting in the face of environmental change, providing a conceptual framework to develop new forecasting methods that combine multi-dimensional (for example, behaviour, morphology, life history and abundance) data.
Indexed as
Identifiers
36702859What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.