Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36702844›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Prediction model for myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery using machine learning.

Ah Ran Oh, Jungchan Park, Seo Jeong Shin, Byungjin Choi, Jong-Hwan Lee, Seung-Hwa Lee, Kwangmo Yang

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Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ah Ran Oh *Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Jungchan Park *Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Seo Jeong ShinDepartment of Biomedical Systems Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Byungjin ChoiDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Ajou University Graduate School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea.
Jong-Hwan LeeDepartment of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Seung-Hwa Lee *Heart Vascular Stroke Institute, Rehabilitation & Prevention Center, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea. shua9999@gmail.com.
Kwangmo Yang *Department of Biomedical Sciences, Ajou University Graduate School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea. kwangmo@skku.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS) is strongly associated with postoperative outcomes. We developed a prediction model for MINS and have provided it online. Between January 2010 and June 2019, a total of 6811 patients underwent non-cardiac surgery with normal preoperative level of cardiac troponin (cTn). We used machine learning techniques with an extreme gradient boosting algorithm to evaluate the effects of variables on MINS development. We generated two prediction models based on the top 12 and 6 variables. MINS was observed in 1499 (22.0%) patients. The top 12 variables in descending order according to the effects on MINS are preoperative cTn level, intraoperative inotropic drug infusion, operation duration, emergency operation, operation type, age, high-risk surgery, body mass index, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease, intraoperative red blood cell transfusion, and current alcoholic use. The prediction models are available at https://sjshin.shinyapps.io/mins_occur_prediction/ . The estimated thresholds were 0.47 in 12-variable models and 0.53 in 6-variable models. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves are 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.78) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.77-0.78), respectively, with an accuracy of 0.97 for both models. Using machine learning techniques, we demonstrated prediction models for MINS. These models require further verification in other populations.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseHeart InjuriesHumansMachine LearningPostoperative ComplicationsRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID36702844
PMCPMC9879966

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.