Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36701415›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Evaluation of machine learning algorithms for the prognosis of breast cancer from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database.

Ruiyang Wu, Jing Luo, Hangyu Wan, Haiyan Zhang, Yewei Yuan, Huihua Hu, Jinyan Feng, Jing Wen, Yan Wang, Junyan Li and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Ruiyang WuDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Jing LuoDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Hangyu WanDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Haiyan ZhangDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Yewei YuanDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Huihua HuDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Jinyan FengDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Jing WenDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Yan WangDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Junyan LiDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Qi LiangDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Fengjiao GanDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.
Gang ZhangDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Sichuan Provincial Hospital for Women and Children (Affiliated Women and Children's Hospital of Chengdu Medical College), Chengdu, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5155-8811

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMany researchers used machine learning (ML) to predict the prognosis of breast cancer (BC) patients and noticed that the ML model had good individualized prediction performance.

objectiveThe cohort study was intended to establish a reliable data analysis model by comparing the performance of 10 common ML algorithms and the the traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, and used this model in Web application development to provide a good individualized prediction for others.

methodsThis study included 63145 BC patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database.

resultsThrough the performance of the 10 ML algorithms and 7th AJCC stage in the optimal test set, we found that in terms of 5-year overall survival, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) had the highest area under the curve (AUC) value (0.831) and F1-score (0.608), and both sensitivity (0.737) and specificity (0.772) were relatively high. Besides, MARS showed a highest AUC value (0.831, 95%confidence interval: 0.820-0.842) in comparison to the other ML algorithms and 7th AJCC stage (all P < 0.05). MARS, the best performing model, was selected for web application development (https://w12251393.shinyapps.io/app2/).

conclusionsThe comparative study of multiple forecasting models utilizing a large data noted that MARS based model achieved a much better performance compared to other ML algorithms and 7th AJCC stage in individualized estimation of survival of BC patients, which was very likely to be the next step towards precision medicine.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBreast NeoplasmsMachine LearningCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansPredictive Value of TestsPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID36701415
PMCPMC9879508

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.