Identifying gene expression-based biomarkers in online learning environments.

Motivation: Gene expression-based classifiers are often developed using historical data by training a model on a small set of patients and a large set of features. Models trained in such a way can be afterwards applied for predicting the output for new unseen patient data. However, very often the accuracy of these models starts to decrease as soon as new data is fed into the trained model. This problem, known as concept drift, complicates the task of learning efficient biomarkers from data and requires special approaches, different from commonly used data mining techniques. Results: Here, we propose an online ensemble learning method to continually validate and adjust gene expression-based biomarker panels over increasing volume of data. We also propose a computational solution to the problem of feature drift where gene expression signatures used to train the classifier become less relevant over time. A benchmark study was conducted to classify the breast tumors into known subtypes by using a large-scale transcriptomic dataset (∼3500 patients), which was obtained by combining two datasets: SCAN-B and TCGA-BRCA. Remarkably, the proposed strategy improves the classification performances of gold-standard biomarker panels (e.g. PAM50, OncotypeDX and Endopredict) by adding features that are clinically relevant. Moreover, test results show that newly discovered biomarker models can retain a high classification accuracy rate when changing the source generating the gene expression profiles. Availability and implementation: github.com/UEFBiomedicalInformaticsLab/OnlineLearningBD. Supplementary information: Supplementary data are available at